Sampdoria 1-1 Frosinone — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 25 Oct 2025

📅25/10/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.19
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
29%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.74
Over 2.5
46%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.81
No
51%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
2.84
2-3 Goals
41%
1.75
4-5 Goals
20%
3.87
6+ Goals
9%
17.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.84 — our 30% vs market 28.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.24
1/2
7%
35.0
1/X
8%
12.65
X/1
18%
5.12
X/2
11%
6.64
X/X
13%
4.19
2/1
7%
28.5
2/2
11%
4.86
2/X
6%
13.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
42%
+2.5pp
27%
Draw
29%
-1.8pp
29%
Away Win
30%
-0.6pp
54%
Under 2.5
54%
+0.7pp
46%
Over 2.5
46%
-0.7pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.4pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sampdoria EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Frosinone EU Bookmakers 33%
-10% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +12%
1.16/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/1.42
-18% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / +5%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
313 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 77%
20.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.6
17.7 Crosses 18.9
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sampdoria
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Frosinone
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.67 xG 1.46
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 6
402 Passes 242
82% Pass Accuracy 75%
25 Box Touches 20
18 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
29.03.2025 Sampdoria Sampdoria 0-3 HT 0-0 Frosinone Frosinone İTB
18.08.2024 Frosinone Frosinone 2-2 HT 1-0 Sampdoria Sampdoria İTB
10.02.2019 Sampdoria Sampdoria 0-1 HT 0-1 Frosinone Frosinone İTA
15.09.2018 Frosinone Frosinone 0-5 HT 0-1 Sampdoria Sampdoria İTA
28.02.2016 Sampdoria Sampdoria 2-0 HT 1-0 Frosinone Frosinone İTA
18.10.2015 Frosinone Frosinone 2-0 HT 0-0 Sampdoria Sampdoria İTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sampdoria
1-1
AWAY Frosinone
1.90 xG 1.19
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 8
244 Passes 214
72% Pass Accuracy 70%
27 Box Touches 24
22 Crosses 15
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Sampdoria vs Frosinone
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sampdoria and Frosinone shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Sampdoria at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Sampdoria had 53% of the ball to Frosinone's 47%, shots finished 13-16, expected goals 1.90 to 1.19.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Frosinone led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Sampdoria and 1.33 for Frosinone.

What was the final score of Sampdoria vs Frosinone?

Sampdoria 1-1 Frosinone in the Italy - Serie B on 25/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sampdoria vs Frosinone?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sampdoria win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Sampdoria 44%, draw 27%, Frosinone 29%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Sampdoria), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sampdoria) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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