Catanzaro 1-0 Palermo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 25 Oct 2025

📅25/10/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.99
Draw
27%
3.04
Away
44%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.67
Over 2.5
47%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.85
No
52%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
17%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
19%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
30%
-0.8pp
27%
Draw
29%
-1.8pp
44%
Away Win
41%
+2.7pp
53%
Under 2.5
56%
-2.8pp
47%
Over 2.5
44%
+2.8pp
48%
BTTS Yes
50%
-2.1pp
52%
BTTS No
50%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Catanzaro EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Palermo EU Bookmakers 45%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -13%
1.12/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.35
+15% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -9%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
326 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 77%
22.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.2
21.1 Crosses 19.2
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Catanzaro
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Palermo
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.33 xG 1.49
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
440 Passes 299
86% Pass Accuracy 81%
19 Box Touches 32
16 Crosses 33
2 Yellow Cards 2
27.04.2025 Catanzaro Catanzaro 1-3 HT 0-2 Palermo Palermo İTB
15.12.2024 Palermo Palermo 1-2 HT 1-1 Catanzaro Catanzaro İTB
26.01.2024 Catanzaro Catanzaro 1-1 HT 1-0 Palermo Palermo İTB
01.12.2023 Palermo Palermo 1-2 HT 0-1 Catanzaro Catanzaro İTB
24.01.2022 Catanzaro Catanzaro 0-0 HT 0-0 Palermo Palermo İTC
03.11.2021 Catanzaro Catanzaro 1-0 HT 0-0 Palermo Palermo İTCK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Catanzaro
1-0
AWAY Palermo
1.52 xG 1.05
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 8
234 Passes 321
77% Pass Accuracy 82%
15 Box Touches 30
10 Crosses 28
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Catanzaro vs Palermo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Catanzaro edged past Palermo 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Palermo at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Catanzaro had 43% of the ball to Palermo's 57%, shots finished 10-14, expected goals 1.52 to 1.05.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Catanzaro had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Catanzaro and 1.00 for Palermo.

What was the final score of Catanzaro vs Palermo?

Catanzaro 1-0 Palermo in the Italy - Serie B on 25/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Catanzaro vs Palermo?

Before kick-off our model rated an Palermo win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Catanzaro 29%, draw 27%, Palermo 44%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Palermo) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Palermo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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