Südtirol 0-1 Cesena — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 25 Oct 2025

Südtirol
0-1 HT 0-1
Cesena
📅25/10/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✓
Italy - Serie B – 2025/2026

Südtirol vs Cesena Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.67
Draw
31%
3.04
Away
39%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.68
Over 2.5
44%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.82
No
47%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.71
2-3 Goals
38%
1.75
4-5 Goals
21%
4.07
6+ Goals
10%
19.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
4.38
1/2
7%
30.5
1/X
8%
12.95
X/1
14%
6.12
X/2 EV+ ✗
22%
5.44
X/X
18%
4.01
2/1
7%
33.5
2/2
10%
3.64
2/X
5%
12.7
Value flag · X/2 at 5.44 — our 22% vs market 14.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
34%
-3.8pp
31%
Draw
29%
+1.6pp
39%
Away Win
37%
+2.2pp
56%
Under 2.5
56%
+0.4pp
44%
Over 2.5
44%
-0.4pp
53%
BTTS Yes
51%
+1.9pp
47%
BTTS No
49%
-1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Südtirol v Cesena — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Südtirol EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Cesena EU Bookmakers 40%
-1% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -4%
1.16/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.46/1.00
+6% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -22%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
256 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 77%
20.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.7
19.1 Crosses 16.2
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.2

Südtirol vs Cesena Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Südtirol
1W-3D-1L
AWAY Cesena
0.60 Avg Goals (FT) 0.60
0.46 xG 0.58
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 8
262 Passes 486
71% Pass Accuracy 87%
12 Box Touches 20
14 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
05.04.2025 Südtirol Südtirol 1-1 HT 1-0 Cesena Cesena İTB
03.11.2024 Cesena Cesena 1-0 HT 0-0 Südtirol Südtirol İTB
25.04.2021 Südtirol Südtirol 1-1 HT 1-1 Cesena Cesena İTC
09.01.2021 Cesena Cesena 0-0 HT 0-0 Südtirol Südtirol İTC
23.10.2019 Cesena Cesena 0-1 HT 0-0 Südtirol Südtirol İTC

Südtirol 0-1 Cesena — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Südtirol
0-1
AWAY Cesena
0.57 xG 0.64
45% Ball Possession 55%
14 Total Shots 5
2 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 4
266 Passes 374
71% Pass Accuracy 78%
35 Box Touches 16
40 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Südtirol vs Cesena
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cesena edged past Südtirol 1-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 30% / 31% / 39% — and on the day Cesena made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Südtirol had 45% of the ball to Cesena's 55%, shots finished 14-5, expected goals 0.57 to 0.64.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.60 goals for Südtirol and 0.60 for Cesena.

What was the final score of Südtirol vs Cesena?

Südtirol 0-1 Cesena in the Italy - Serie B on 25/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Südtirol vs Cesena?

Before kick-off our model rated an Cesena win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Südtirol 30%, draw 31%, Cesena 39%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cesena), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Cesena) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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