Melbourne City vs Perth Glory Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Melbourne City v Perth Glory — Team-Based Signals
Melbourne City vs Perth Glory Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-2
HT 1-1
Melbourne City
AVUS
Melbourne City 4-0 Perth Glory — Actual Match Statistics
Melbourne City swept aside Perth Glory 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Melbourne City as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Melbourne City had 60% of the ball to Perth Glory's 40%, shots finished 13-9, expected goals 2.73 to 0.47.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Melbourne City had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 3.67 goals for Melbourne City and 1.67 for Perth Glory.
What was the final score of Melbourne City vs Perth Glory?
Melbourne City 4-0 Perth Glory in the Australia - A-League on 25/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Melbourne City vs Perth Glory?
Before kick-off our model rated a Melbourne City win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Melbourne City 61%, draw 20%, Perth Glory 18%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Melbourne City), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.