Velez Mostar 1-0 Siroki Brijeg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bosnia and Herzegovina - Premier League, 25 Oct 2025

📅25/10/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.89
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
24%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.74
Over 2.5
49%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.88
No
50%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
19%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
49%
-0.7pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.1pp
24%
Away Win
24%
+0.6pp
51%
Under 2.5
54%
-3.1pp
49%
Over 2.5
46%
+3.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.1pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Velez Mostar EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Siroki Brijeg EU Bookmakers 27%
+6% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +9%
1.89/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/1.25
+31% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +51% / -4%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
341 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Velez Mostar
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Siroki Brijeg
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
10.08.2025 Siroki Brijeg Siroki Brijeg 1-3 HT 1-0 Velez Mostar Velez Mostar BOSN
28.03.2025 Siroki Brijeg Siroki Brijeg 2-5 HT 0-2 Velez Mostar Velez Mostar BOSN
12.03.2025 Velez Mostar Velez Mostar 1-2 HT 0-1 Siroki Brijeg Siroki Brijeg BOSK
26.02.2025 Siroki Brijeg Siroki Brijeg 2-0 HT 1-0 Velez Mostar Velez Mostar BOSK
23.11.2024 Velez Mostar Velez Mostar 3-1 HT 2-0 Siroki Brijeg Siroki Brijeg BOSN
18.08.2024 Siroki Brijeg Siroki Brijeg 0-2 HT 0-1 Velez Mostar Velez Mostar BOSN
POST-MATCH Velez Mostar vs Siroki Brijeg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Velez Mostar edged past Siroki Brijeg 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Velez Mostar as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Velez Mostar had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Velez Mostar and 1.33 for Siroki Brijeg.

What was the final score of Velez Mostar vs Siroki Brijeg?

Velez Mostar 1-0 Siroki Brijeg in the Bosnia and Herzegovina - Premier League on 25/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Velez Mostar vs Siroki Brijeg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Velez Mostar win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Velez Mostar 48%, draw 27%, Siroki Brijeg 24%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Velez Mostar), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Velez Mostar) ✓ Under 2.5
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BOSN More Bosnia and Herzegovina - Premier League
25 Oct 2025
17:00 Rudar Prijedor vs Zeljeznicar Analysis →