Suwon City 1-2 Jeju United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 25 Oct 2025

📅25/10/2025 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.82
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
23%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.38
Over 2.5
59%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.5
No
41%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
5.04
2-3 Goals
39%
1.99
4-5 Goals
27%
2.81
6+ Goals
13%
7.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
2.39
1/2
6%
32.5
1/X
8%
12.85
X/1
12%
4.8
X/2
8%
8.47
X/X
9%
5.95
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
20.35
2/2
8%
5.71
2/X
6%
13.8
Value flag · 2/1 at 20.35 — our 9% vs market 2.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
51%
+3.5pp
23%
Draw
24%
-0.8pp
23%
Away Win
25%
-2.8pp
41%
Under 2.5
38%
+2.7pp
59%
Over 2.5
62%
-2.7pp
59%
BTTS Yes
62%
-3.1pp
41%
BTTS No
38%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Suwon City EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Jeju United EU Bookmakers 29%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -4%
2.48/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.78/1.57
+54% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / -11%
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
337 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 377 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
19.3 Crosses 15.6
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Suwon City
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Jeju United
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 3
381 Passes 328
81% Pass Accuracy 78%
17 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
28.09.2025 Jeju United Jeju United 3-4 HT 2-2 Suwon City Suwon City GKOR
27.05.2025 Suwon City Suwon City 0-1 HT 0-1 Jeju United Jeju United GKOR
30.03.2025 Jeju United Jeju United 1-0 HT 1-0 Suwon City Suwon City GKOR
25.08.2024 Suwon City Suwon City 5-0 HT 2-0 Jeju United Jeju United GKOR
26.05.2024 Jeju United Jeju United 1-0 HT 1-0 Suwon City Suwon City GKOK
20.04.2024 Suwon City Suwon City 2-1 HT 0-1 Jeju United Jeju United GKOK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Suwon City
1-2
AWAY Jeju United
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 7
297 Passes 284
76% Pass Accuracy 74%
19 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Suwon City vs Jeju United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jeju United nicked a narrow win over Suwon City 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Suwon City at 55% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (59%) came in.

On the day, Suwon City had 50% of the ball to Jeju United's 50%, shots finished 12-15.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Suwon City and 1.17 for Jeju United.

What was the final score of Suwon City vs Jeju United?

Suwon City 1-2 Jeju United in the South Kore - K League Classic on 25/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Suwon City vs Jeju United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Suwon City win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Suwon City 55%, draw 23%, Jeju United 23%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Suwon City) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Suwon City) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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