Le Havre 0-1 Brest — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 1, 26 Jan 2025

Le Havre
0-1 HT 0-1
Brest
📅26/01/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✓
France - Ligue 1 – 2024/2025

Le Havre vs Brest Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.99
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
39%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.71
Over 2.5
48%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.82
No
48%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.78
2-3 Goals
41%
1.74
4-5 Goals
21%
3.93
6+ Goals
11%
18.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
4.95
1/2
8%
28.0
1/X
8%
13.5
X/1
10%
6.63
X/2
14%
4.95
X/X
13%
4.18
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
18%
3.16
2/X
7%
12.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
30%
+1.8pp
29%
Draw
29%
+0.0pp
39%
Away Win
41%
-1.8pp
52%
Under 2.5
55%
-2.4pp
48%
Over 2.5
45%
+2.4pp
52%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.7pp
48%
BTTS No
49%
-0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Le Havre v Brest — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Le Havre EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Brest EU Bookmakers 45%
-3% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
1.47/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.38
+16% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -30% / -10%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
296 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 388 · 82%
23.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.7
22.7 Crosses 23.1
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.8

Le Havre vs Brest Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Le Havre
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Brest
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.30 xG 1.29
43% Ball Possession 58%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
247 Passes 368
73% Pass Accuracy 79%
20 Box Touches 17
19 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
06.10.2024 Brest Brest 2-0 HT 1-0 Le Havre Le Havre FR1
03.03.2024 Brest Brest 1-0 HT 1-0 Le Havre Le Havre FR1
20.08.2023 Le Havre Le Havre 1-2 HT 0-1 Brest Brest FR1
01.02.2019 Le Havre Le Havre 1-1 HT 1-0 Brest Brest FR2
28.08.2018 Le Havre Le Havre 3-3 HT 2-0 Brest Brest FRLK
24.08.2018 Brest Brest 1-0 HT 0-0 Le Havre Le Havre FR2

Le Havre 0-1 Brest — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Le Havre
0-1
AWAY Brest
1.01 xG 2.05
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 17
1 Shots on Target 9
6 Corners 6
284 Passes 416
78% Pass Accuracy 86%
24 Box Touches 32
25 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Le Havre vs Brest
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Brest nicked a narrow win over Le Havre 1-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 29% / 39% — and on the day Brest made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Le Havre had 44% of the ball to Brest's 56%, shots finished 11-17, expected goals 1.01 to 2.05.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Brest led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Le Havre and 1.67 for Brest.

What was the final score of Le Havre vs Brest?

Le Havre 0-1 Brest in the France - Ligue 1 on 26/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Le Havre vs Brest?

Before kick-off our model rated an Brest win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Le Havre 32%, draw 29%, Brest 39%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Brest), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Brest) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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