Matagalpa 2-1 Export Sebaco — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nikaragua - Premier League, 26 Feb 2026

📅26/02/2026 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.09
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
29%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.03
Over 2.5
49%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.61
No
48%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
18%
X/2
6%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
18%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
44%
+0.7pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.4pp
30%
Away Win
29%
+0.6pp
51%
Under 2.5
45%
+5.1pp
49%
Over 2.5
55%
-5.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
58%
-6.0pp
48%
BTTS No
42%
+6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Matagalpa EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Export Sebaco EU Bookmakers 32%
-11% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
1.81/1.59 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/1.67
+18% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / -16%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
379 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Matagalpa
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Export Sebaco
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
19.01.2026 Export Sebaco Export Sebaco 0-1 HT 0-0 Matagalpa Matagalpa NİK
27.11.2025 Export Sebaco Export Sebaco 2-0 HT 0-0 Matagalpa Matagalpa NİK
22.09.2025 Export Sebaco Export Sebaco 0-0 HT 0-0 Matagalpa Matagalpa NİK
31.03.2025 Matagalpa Matagalpa 5-2 HT 3-2 Export Sebaco Export Sebaco NİK
08.11.2024 Export Sebaco Export Sebaco 1-3 HT 1-1 Matagalpa Matagalpa NİK
01.09.2024 Matagalpa Matagalpa 1-1 HT 1-0 Export Sebaco Export Sebaco NİK
FAQ Matagalpa vs Export Sebaco
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Matagalpa edged past Export Sebaco 2-1 in the Nikaragua - Premier League on 26 Feb 2026. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Matagalpa have the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Matagalpa and 1.00 for Export Sebaco.

What was the final score of Matagalpa vs Export Sebaco?

Matagalpa 2-1 Export Sebaco in the Nikaragua - Premier League on 26/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Matagalpa vs Export Sebaco?

Before kick-off our model rated a Matagalpa win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Matagalpa 45%, draw 26%, Export Sebaco 30%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Matagalpa), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Matagalpa) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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NİK More Nikaragua - Premier League
26 Feb 2026
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