Municipal Liberia vs Guanacasteca Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Municipal Liberia v Guanacasteca — Team-Based Signals
Municipal Liberia vs Guanacasteca Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
4-2
HT 2-1
Municipal Liberia
KOSTA
Municipal Liberia 1-1 Guanacasteca — Actual Match Statistics
Municipal Liberia and Guanacasteca shared the points in a 1-1 draw.
Our pre-match lean was Municipal Liberia at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (56%) came in.
On the day, Municipal Liberia had 64% of the ball to Guanacasteca's 36%, shots finished 14-6.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Guanacasteca led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Municipal Liberia and 1.50 for Guanacasteca.
What was the final score of Municipal Liberia vs Guanacasteca?
Municipal Liberia 1-1 Guanacasteca in the Costa Rica - Premier League on 26/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Municipal Liberia vs Guanacasteca?
Before kick-off our model rated a Municipal Liberia win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Municipal Liberia 46%, draw 31%, Guanacasteca 24%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Municipal Liberia) went the other way.