İtalya 2-0 Kuzey İrlanda — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 26 Mar 2026

İtalya
2-0 HT 0-0
Kuzey İrlanda
📅26/03/2026 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 ✗ 2nd Score 4-0 ✗
World Cup Qualifiers – 2026

İtalya vs Kuzey İrlanda Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
73%
1.27
Draw
16%
5.15
Away
11%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.95
Over 2.5
53%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.53
No
54%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.33
2-3 Goals
42%
1.75
4-5 Goals
21%
3.33
6+ Goals
10%
12.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
40%
1.43
1/2
3%
34.0
1/X
4%
25.5
X/1
24%
3.45
X/2
3%
23.1
X/X
8%
6.86
2/1
9%
28.0
2/2
5%
23.1
2/X
4%
31.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
73%
Home Win
75%
-1.4pp
16%
Draw
17%
-0.4pp
11%
Away Win
9%
+1.8pp
47%
Under 2.5
48%
-0.3pp
53%
Over 2.5
52%
+0.3pp
46%
BTTS Yes
36%
+10.1pp
54%
BTTS No
64%
-10.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

İtalya v Kuzey İrlanda — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME İtalya EU Bookmakers 79%
Head to Head
AWAY Kuzey İrlanda EU Bookmakers 11%
-11% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
3.14/0.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.32/2.81
+5% / +91% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / -4%
64% Ball Possession 36%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 4
562 · 88% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 250 · 75%
46.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 8.3
27.2 Crosses 13.1
1.0 Yellow Cards 3.5

İtalya vs Kuzey İrlanda Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME İtalya
3W-2D-0L
AWAY Kuzey İrlanda
1.60 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
1.50 xG 0.82
68% Ball Possession 32%
14 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 5
628 Passes 224
88% Pass Accuracy 70%
18 Box Touches 16
13 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
15.11.2021 Kuzey İrlanda Kuzey İrlanda 0-0 HT 0-0 İtalya İtalya DKE
25.03.2021 İtalya İtalya 2-0 HT 2-0 Kuzey İrlanda Kuzey İrlanda DKE
11.10.2011 İtalya İtalya 3-0 HT 1-0 Kuzey İrlanda Kuzey İrlanda AVR
08.10.2010 Kuzey İrlanda Kuzey İrlanda 0-0 HT 0-0 İtalya İtalya AVR
06.06.2009 İtalya İtalya 3-0 HT 1-0 Kuzey İrlanda Kuzey İrlanda HAZ

İtalya 2-0 Kuzey İrlanda — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME İtalya
2-0
AWAY Kuzey İrlanda
1.59 xG 0.51
63% Ball Possession 37%
19 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 1
12 Corners 3
423 Passes 236
84% Pass Accuracy 76%
36 Box Touches 12
34 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH İtalya vs Kuzey İrlanda
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

İtalya got the better of Kuzey İrlanda 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had İtalya as the likeliest winner at 73%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, İtalya had 63% of the ball to Kuzey İrlanda's 37%, shots finished 19-8, expected goals 1.59 to 0.51.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, İtalya had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for İtalya and 0.00 for Kuzey İrlanda.

What was the final score of İtalya vs Kuzey İrlanda?

İtalya 2-0 Kuzey İrlanda in the World Cup Qualifiers on 26/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for İtalya vs Kuzey İrlanda?

Before kick-off our model rated a İtalya win the most likely single outcome at about 73%, with the full match-result split İtalya 73%, draw 16%, Kuzey İrlanda 11%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (İtalya), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (İtalya) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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