İtalya vs Kuzey İrlanda Prediction — Model Probabilities
İtalya v Kuzey İrlanda — Team-Based Signals
İtalya vs Kuzey İrlanda Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
İtalya 2-0 Kuzey İrlanda — Actual Match Statistics
İtalya got the better of Kuzey İrlanda 2-0. It stood 0-0 at the interval — everything that mattered happened after the restart.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had İtalya as the likeliest winner at 79%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (60%) came in.
The match data tells the story: İtalya had 63% of the ball to Kuzey İrlanda's 37%, shots finished 19-8, expected goals 1.59 to 0.51.
Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, İtalya had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for İtalya and 0.00 for Kuzey İrlanda.
İtalya vs Kuzey İrlanda Result & Final Score
İtalya 2 - 0 Kuzey İrlanda in the World Cup Qualifiers on 26/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
İtalya vs Kuzey İrlanda Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a İtalya win the most likely single outcome at about 79%, with the full match-result split İtalya 79%, draw 14%, Kuzey İrlanda 7%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (İtalya), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.