Polonya 2-1 Arnavutluk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 26 Mar 2026

Polonya
2-1 HT 0-1
Arnavutluk
📅26/03/2026 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
World Cup Qualifiers – 2026

Polonya vs Arnavutluk Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.61
Draw
21%
3.54
Away
17%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.62
Over 2.5
50%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.19
No
52%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2.49
2-3 Goals
40%
1.73
4-5 Goals
24%
4.39
6+ Goals
10%
23.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
2.08
1/2
4%
34.0
1/X
5%
16.3
X/1
17%
3.8
X/2
6%
10.6
X/X
11%
4.43
2/1
9%
28.0
2/2
7%
9.7
2/X
5%
18.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
58%
+3.6pp
21%
Draw
25%
-4.0pp
17%
Away Win
17%
+0.4pp
50%
Under 2.5
58%
-7.6pp
50%
Over 2.5
42%
+7.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
42%
+6.7pp
52%
BTTS No
58%
-6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Polonya v Arnavutluk — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Polonya EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Arnavutluk EU Bookmakers 20%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +31% / +31%
2.00/0.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.77/1.60
+59% / -46% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / +123%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
419 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 79%
26.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.2
20.9 Crosses 14.7
1.6 Yellow Cards 3.5

Polonya vs Arnavutluk Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Polonya
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Arnavutluk
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
0.92 xG 0.38
56% Ball Possession 44%
8 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 2
381 Passes 275
80% Pass Accuracy 74%
16 Box Touches 11
15 Crosses 14
4 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
10.09.2023 Arnavutluk Arnavutluk 2-0 HT 1-0 Polonya Polonya AVŞE
27.03.2023 Polonya Polonya 1-0 HT 1-0 Arnavutluk Arnavutluk AVŞE
12.10.2021 Arnavutluk Arnavutluk 0-1 HT 0-0 Polonya Polonya DKE
02.09.2021 Polonya Polonya 4-1 HT 2-1 Arnavutluk Arnavutluk DKE
27.05.2008 Polonya Polonya 1-0 HT 1-0 Arnavutluk Arnavutluk HAZ
29.05.2005 Polonya Polonya 1-0 HT 1-0 Arnavutluk Arnavutluk HAZ

Polonya 2-1 Arnavutluk — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Polonya
2-1
AWAY Arnavutluk
0.89 xG 1.10
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
415 Passes 403
88% Pass Accuracy 82%
26 Box Touches 22
18 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Polonya vs Arnavutluk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Polonya edged past Arnavutluk 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Polonya as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Polonya had 50% of the ball to Arnavutluk's 50%, shots finished 15-8, expected goals 0.89 to 1.10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Polonya had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Polonya and 0.50 for Arnavutluk.

What was the final score of Polonya vs Arnavutluk?

Polonya 2-1 Arnavutluk in the World Cup Qualifiers on 26/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Polonya vs Arnavutluk?

Before kick-off our model rated a Polonya win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Polonya 62%, draw 21%, Arnavutluk 17%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Polonya) — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Polonya) ✗ BTTS No
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