Galler 1-1 Bosna-Hersek — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 26 Mar 2026

📅26/03/2026 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.66
Draw
22%
3.54
Away
29%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
1.86
Over 2.5
57%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.85
No
43%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
3.16
2-3 Goals
40%
1.74
4-5 Goals
26%
3.45
6+ Goals
12%
13.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
2.13
1/2 EV+ ✗
7%
34.0
1/X
6%
14.2
X/1
13%
4.15
X/2
7%
9.88
X/X
10%
4.93
2/1
8%
23.95
2/2
14%
8.08
2/X
6%
15.95
Value flag · 1/2 at 34.0 — our 7% vs market 1.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
56%
-6.4pp
22%
Draw
25%
-3.2pp
29%
Away Win
19%
+9.6pp
43%
Under 2.5
50%
-7.4pp
57%
Over 2.5
50%
+7.4pp
57%
BTTS Yes
50%
+7.1pp
43%
BTTS No
50%
-7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Galler EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Bosna-Hersek EU Bookmakers 22%
+19% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +44% / +44%
3.61/0.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.72
+150% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +150%
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
437 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 75%
33.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.4
25.0 Crosses 9.6
0.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Galler
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Bosna-Hersek
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
260 Passes 394
74% Pass Accuracy 80%
10.10.2015 Bosna-Hersek Bosna-Hersek 2-0 HT 0-0 Galler Galler AVŞE
10.10.2014 Galler Galler 0-0 HT 0-0 Bosna-Hersek Bosna-Hersek AVŞE
15.08.2012 Galler Galler 0-2 HT 0-1 Bosna-Hersek Bosna-Hersek HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Galler
1-1
AWAY Bosna-Hersek
1.34 xG 1.11
62% Ball Possession 38%
19 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
9 Corners 3
586 Passes 316
84% Pass Accuracy 72%
35 Box Touches 23
41 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Galler vs Bosna-Hersek
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Galler and Bosna-Hersek shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Galler at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (57%) landed while over 2.5 goals (57%) missed.

On the day, Galler had 62% of the ball to Bosna-Hersek's 38%, shots finished 19-14, expected goals 1.34 to 1.11.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Bosna-Hersek led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Galler and 1.33 for Bosna-Hersek.

What was the final score of Galler vs Bosna-Hersek?

Galler 1-1 Bosna-Hersek in the World Cup Qualifiers on 26/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Galler vs Bosna-Hersek?

Before kick-off our model rated a Galler win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Galler 50%, draw 22%, Bosna-Hersek 29%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Galler), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Galler) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
DKE More World Cup Qualifiers
26 Mar 2026
20:00 Türkiye vs Romanya Analysis →
22:45 Danimarka vs Kuzey Makedonya Analysis →
22:45 Polonya vs Arnavutluk Analysis →
22:45 İtalya vs Kuzey İrlanda Analysis →
22:45 Çekya vs İrlanda Cumhuriyeti Analysis →
22:45 Ukrayna vs İsveç Analysis →