Türkiye vs Romanya Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Türkiye v Romanya — Team-Based Signals
Türkiye vs Romanya Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
2-0
HT 1-0
Türkiye
HAZ
0-2
HT 0-1
Türkiye
DKE
0-1
HT 0-1
Romanya
DKE
2-0
HT 0-0
Romanya
HAZ
2-0
HT 0-0
Türkiye
HAZ
Türkiye 1-0 Romanya — Actual Match Statistics
Türkiye squeezed past Romanya 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Türkiye as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Türkiye had 68% of the ball to Romanya's 32%, shots finished 16-6, expected goals 1.40 to 0.40.
For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Romanya led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for Türkiye and 1.00 for Romanya.
What was the final score of Türkiye vs Romanya?
Türkiye 1-0 Romanya in the World Cup Qualifiers on 26/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Türkiye vs Romanya?
Before kick-off our model rated a Türkiye win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Türkiye 61%, draw 18%, Romanya 21%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Türkiye) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.