Danimarka 4-0 Kuzey Makedonya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 26 Mar 2026

📅26/03/2026 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
84%
1.22
Draw
10%
5.71
Away
6%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
2.29
Over 2.5
63%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.19
No
50%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
4.44
2-3 Goals
38%
1.86
4-5 Goals
29%
2.77
6+ Goals
13%
7.71
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
51%
1.35
1/2
2%
34.0
1/X
3%
26.0
X/1
21%
3.63
X/2
2%
25.0
X/X
3%
8.53
2/1 EV+ ✗
12%
24.35
2/2
2%
23.95
2/X
4%
31.0
Value flag · 2/1 at 24.35 — our 12% vs market 1.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
84%
Home Win
78%
+5.9pp
10%
Draw
15%
-4.4pp
6%
Away Win
7%
-1.4pp
37%
Under 2.5
40%
-2.5pp
63%
Over 2.5
60%
+2.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
42%
+8.8pp
50%
BTTS No
58%
-8.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Danimarka EU Bookmakers 82%
Head to Head
AWAY Kuzey Makedonya EU Bookmakers 9%
-16% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +29% / +29%
2.31/0.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.25/3.11
-24% / -51% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / -10%
63% Ball Possession 37%
17 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
467 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 231 · 72%
38.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 5.6
33.9 Crosses 6.4
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Danimarka
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Kuzey Makedonya
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
06.02.2013 Kuzey Makedonya Kuzey Makedonya 3-0 HT 3-0 Danimarka Danimarka HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Danimarka
4-0
AWAY Kuzey Makedonya
2.85 xG 0.15
68% Ball Possession 32%
20 Total Shots 3
9 Shots on Target 0
11 Corners 2
527 Passes 210
89% Pass Accuracy 75%
43 Box Touches 3
28 Crosses 9
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Danimarka vs Kuzey Makedonya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Danimarka ran out comfortable winners over Kuzey Makedonya 4-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Danimarka as the likeliest winner at 84%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (63%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Danimarka had 68% of the ball to Kuzey Makedonya's 32%, shots finished 20-3, expected goals 2.85 to 0.15.

What was the final score of Danimarka vs Kuzey Makedonya?

Danimarka 4-0 Kuzey Makedonya in the World Cup Qualifiers on 26/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Danimarka vs Kuzey Makedonya?

Before kick-off our model rated a Danimarka win the most likely single outcome at about 84%, with the full match-result split Danimarka 84%, draw 10%, Kuzey Makedonya 6%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Danimarka), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Danimarka) ✓ Over 2.5
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