Barnet 4-0 Aldershot Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 26 Apr 2025

📅26/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
60%
1.29
Draw
22%
5.15
Away
18%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under
43%
2.63
Over
57%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.81
No
54%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1
22%
5.78
2-3
41%
2.05
4-5
24%
2.49
6+
13%
5.36
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1.44
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
5%
21.35
X/1
14%
3.99
X/2
8%
20.9
X/X
9%
9.2
2/1
11%
20.5
2/2
5%
16.9
2/X
8%
24.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Barnet win — 60%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
73%
-12.8pp
22%
Draw
16%
+6.0pp
17%
Away Win
11%
+6.8pp
43%
Under 2.5
34%
+8.9pp
57%
Over 2.5
66%
-8.9pp
46%
BTTS Yes
51%
-5.1pp
54%
BTTS No
49%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Barnet EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Aldershot Town EU Bookmakers 14%
+2% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +7%
2.51/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/2.38
+20% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / -16%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
252 · 92% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 151 · 88%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Barnet
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Aldershot Town
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
1 Passes 0
4 Yellow Cards 4
24.09.2024 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town 0-1 HT 0-1 Barnet Barnet İBSL
20.02.2024 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town 1-0 HT 0-0 Barnet Barnet İBSL
19.09.2023 Barnet Barnet 2-1 HT 1-0 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town İBSL
25.02.2023 Barnet Barnet 4-1 HT 1-0 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town İBSL
03.09.2022 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town 3-1 HT 1-1 Barnet Barnet İBSL
05.02.2022 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town 1-3 HT 0-2 Barnet Barnet İBSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Barnet
4-0
AWAY Aldershot Town
63% Ball Possession 37%
11 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 1
1 Passes 0
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Barnet vs Aldershot Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Barnet swept aside Aldershot Town 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Barnet as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Barnet had 63% of the ball to Aldershot Town's 37%, shots finished 11-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Barnet had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Barnet and 1.17 for Aldershot Town.

What was the final score of Barnet vs Aldershot Town?

Barnet 4-0 Aldershot Town in the England - National League on 26/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Barnet vs Aldershot Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Barnet win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Barnet 60%, draw 22%, Aldershot Town 17%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Barnet), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Barnet) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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