Aveley 2-2 Bath City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 26 Apr 2025

📅26/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
3.29
Draw
23%
3.35
Away Pick
53%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under
49%
1.82
Over
51%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.76
No
48%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1
23%
3.04
2-3
40%
1.75
4-5
27%
3.56
6+
10%
14.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
6%
X/2
27%
X/X
9%
2/1
4%
2/2
19%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Bath City win — 53%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
27%
-2.7pp
23%
Draw
26%
-3.2pp
53%
Away Win
47%
+6.0pp
49%
Under 2.5
51%
-2.7pp
51%
Over 2.5
49%
+2.6pp
52%
BTTS Yes
53%
-0.3pp
48%
BTTS No
47%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aveley EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Bath City EU Bookmakers 50%
+11% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +9%
1.41/1.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.78/0.53
+18% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / +127%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
300 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 375 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aveley
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Bath City
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
4 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 0
21.12.2024 Bath City Bath City 3-0 HT 3-0 Aveley Aveley İCON
11.11.2023 Bath City Bath City 3-0 HT 2-0 Aveley Aveley İCON
POST-MATCH Aveley vs Bath City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aveley and Bath City shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Bath City at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Bath City led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Aveley and 3.00 for Bath City.

What was the final score of Aveley vs Bath City?

Aveley 2-2 Bath City in the England - Conference on 26/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aveley vs Bath City?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bath City win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Aveley 24%, draw 23%, Bath City 53%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Bath City) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bath City) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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