Hereford FC 0-1 Scunthorpe United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 26 Apr 2025

📅26/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.84
Draw
31%
3.45
Away
35%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
60%
1.9
Over
40%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.7
No
54%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1
31%
3.21
2-3
42%
1.76
4-5
19%
3.4
6+
8%
13.05
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.21 — our 31% vs market 24.7%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
15%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 60%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
31%
+2.8pp
31%
Draw
25%
+5.4pp
35%
Away Win
43%
-8.2pp
60%
Under 2.5
49%
+11.3pp
40%
Over 2.5
51%
-11.3pp
46%
BTTS Yes
55%
-8.6pp
54%
BTTS No
45%
+8.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hereford FC EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Scunthorpe United EU Bookmakers 48%
+6% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -9%
1.47/1.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/0.91
+13% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -30% / +30%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
283 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 398 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hereford FC
0W-1D-4L
AWAY Scunthorpe United
0.60 Avg Goals (FT) 2.80
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 8
6 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 4
21.12.2024 Scunthorpe United Scunthorpe United 0-0 HT 0-0 Hereford FC Hereford FC İCON
06.04.2024 Scunthorpe United Scunthorpe United 4-1 HT 0-1 Hereford FC Hereford FC İCON
02.12.2023 Hereford FC Hereford FC 1-5 HT 0-4 Scunthorpe United Scunthorpe United İCON
17.03.2009 Scunthorpe United Scunthorpe United 3-0 HT 2-0 Hereford FC Hereford FC İN1
20.09.2008 Hereford FC Hereford FC 1-2 HT 1-0 Scunthorpe United Scunthorpe United İN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hereford FC
0-1
AWAY Scunthorpe United
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Hereford FC vs Scunthorpe United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Scunthorpe United squeezed past Hereford FC 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (34% / 31% / 35%) promised a tight game; Scunthorpe United found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Hereford FC had 48% of the ball to Scunthorpe United's 52%, shots finished 12-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Scunthorpe United led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.60 goals for Hereford FC and 2.80 for Scunthorpe United.

What was the final score of Hereford FC vs Scunthorpe United?

Hereford FC 0-1 Scunthorpe United in the England - Conference on 26/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hereford FC vs Scunthorpe United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Scunthorpe United win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Hereford FC 34%, draw 31%, Scunthorpe United 35%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Scunthorpe United), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Scunthorpe United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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