Peterborough Sports 1-1 Scarborough Athletic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 26 Apr 2025

📅26/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.33
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
32%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under
52%
1.91
Over
48%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.68
No Pick
53%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1
27%
3.34
2-3
40%
1.77
4-5
25%
3.3
6+
8%
12.2
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.34 — our 27% vs market 23.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS No — 53%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
39%
+2.7pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.0pp
32%
Away Win
34%
-2.7pp
52%
Under 2.5
48%
+3.9pp
48%
Over 2.5
52%
-3.9pp
47%
BTTS Yes
56%
-8.6pp
53%
BTTS No
44%
+8.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Peterborough Sports EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Scarborough Athletic EU Bookmakers 38%
+7% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +8%
1.43/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.30
+1% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / +1%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
351 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Peterborough Sports
1W-2D-2L
AWAY Scarborough Athletic
0.80 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
21.12.2024 Scarborough Athletic Scarborough Athletic 1-1 HT 0-1 Peterborough Sports Peterborough Sports İCON
20.01.2024 Scarborough Athletic Scarborough Athletic 1-1 HT 0-1 Peterborough Sports Peterborough Sports İCON
05.08.2023 Peterborough Sports Peterborough Sports 1-0 HT 1-0 Scarborough Athletic Scarborough Athletic İCON
04.04.2023 Peterborough Sports Peterborough Sports 0-1 HT 0-1 Scarborough Athletic Scarborough Athletic İCON
06.12.2022 Scarborough Athletic Scarborough Athletic 2-1 HT 0-0 Peterborough Sports Peterborough Sports İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Peterborough Sports
1-1
AWAY Scarborough Athletic
48% Ball Possession 52%
23 Total Shots 9
11 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Peterborough Sports vs Scarborough Athletic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Peterborough Sports and Scarborough Athletic shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Peterborough Sports at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Peterborough Sports had 48% of the ball to Scarborough Athletic's 52%, shots finished 23-9.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Scarborough Athletic led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for Peterborough Sports and 1.00 for Scarborough Athletic.

What was the final score of Peterborough Sports vs Scarborough Athletic?

Peterborough Sports 1-1 Scarborough Athletic in the England - Conference on 26/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Peterborough Sports vs Scarborough Athletic?

Before kick-off our model rated a Peterborough Sports win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Peterborough Sports 42%, draw 26%, Scarborough Athletic 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Peterborough Sports), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Peterborough Sports) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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