Southport vs Kidderminster Harriers Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Southport v Kidderminster Harriers — Team-Based Signals
Southport vs Kidderminster Harriers Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-3
HT 0-1
Kidderminster Harriers
İCON
0-2
HT 0-1
Southport
İCON
6-0
HT 2-0
Southport
İCON
1-1
HT 0-1
Kidderminster Harriers
İCON
1-2
HT 1-1
Kidderminster Harriers
İCON
Southport 2-1 Kidderminster Harriers — Actual Match Statistics
Southport edged past Kidderminster Harriers 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Kidderminster Harriers at 63% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Southport had 37% of the ball to Kidderminster Harriers's 63%, shots finished 6-14.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kidderminster Harriers led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Southport and 2.33 for Kidderminster Harriers.
What was the final score of Southport vs Kidderminster Harriers?
Southport 2-1 Kidderminster Harriers in the England - Conference on 26/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Southport vs Kidderminster Harriers?
Before kick-off our model rated an Kidderminster Harriers win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Southport 18%, draw 19%, Kidderminster Harriers 63%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.