Welling United 1-1 Salisbury — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 26 Apr 2025

📅26/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.69
Draw
31%
3.8
Away
40%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under
52%
2.15
Over
48%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
53%
1.66
No
47%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1
23%
3.92
2-3
45%
1.82
4-5
24%
2.96
6+
8%
9.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
15%
X/X
17%
2/1
5%
2/2
20%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 53%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
24%
+5.2pp
32%
Draw
23%
+8.5pp
40%
Away Win
53%
-13.7pp
52%
Under 2.5
43%
+8.7pp
48%
Over 2.5
57%
-8.7pp
53%
BTTS Yes
56%
-2.9pp
47%
BTTS No
44%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Welling United EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Salisbury EU Bookmakers 57%
-6% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+8% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
245 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Welling United
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Salisbury
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
57% Ball Possession 43%
7 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 0
2 Yellow Cards 2
21.12.2024 Salisbury Salisbury 3-1 HT 1-0 Welling United Welling United İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Welling United
1-1
AWAY Salisbury
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Welling United vs Salisbury
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Welling United and Salisbury couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (29% / 32% / 40%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Welling United had 53% of the ball to Salisbury's 47%, shots finished 10-8.

What was the final score of Welling United vs Salisbury?

Welling United 1-1 Salisbury in the England - Conference on 26/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Welling United vs Salisbury?

Before kick-off our model rated an Salisbury win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Welling United 29%, draw 32%, Salisbury 40%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Salisbury) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Salisbury) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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