Preston North End vs Plymouth Argyle Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Preston North End v Plymouth Argyle — Team-Based Signals
Preston North End vs Plymouth Argyle Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 2-0
Plymouth Argyle
İNCL
1-1
HT 0-1
Preston North End
İNCL
2-0
HT 2-0
Plymouth Argyle
İNCL
1-1
HT 1-1
Plymouth Argyle
İNCL
Preston North End 1-2 Plymouth Argyle — Actual Match Statistics
Plymouth Argyle nicked a narrow win over Preston North End 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
Our pre-match lean was Preston North End at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, Preston North End had 69% of the ball to Plymouth Argyle's 31%, shots finished 20-5, expected goals 2.42 to 0.77 — the balance of chances actually favoured Preston North End.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Preston North End had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Preston North End and 1.00 for Plymouth Argyle.
What was the final score of Preston North End vs Plymouth Argyle?
Preston North End 1-2 Plymouth Argyle in the England - Championship on 26/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Preston North End vs Plymouth Argyle?
Before kick-off our model rated a Preston North End win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Preston North End 44%, draw 29%, Plymouth Argyle 27%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.