Middelfart 1-0 Akademisk BK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - 2nd Division, 26 Apr 2025

📅26/04/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.89
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
32%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.0
Over 2.5
51%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.68
No
49%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
25%
3.57
2-3 Goals
40%
1.8
4-5 Goals
24%
3.14
6+ Goals
11%
10.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.57 — our 25% vs market 21.9%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
17%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
49%
-5.7pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.0pp
32%
Away Win
26%
+5.8pp
49%
Under 2.5
46%
+2.5pp
51%
Over 2.5
54%
-2.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.1pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Middelfart EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Akademisk BK EU Bookmakers 29%
-12% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -7%
1.25/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/1.40
-19% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / -2%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
390 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Middelfart
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Akademisk BK
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 1
15.03.2025 Middelfart Middelfart 1-3 Akademisk BK Akademisk BK DAN2
05.10.2024 Akademisk BK Akademisk BK 1-3 Middelfart Middelfart DAN2
15.06.2024 Middelfart Middelfart 0-1 HT 0-0 Akademisk BK Akademisk BK DAN2
03.05.2024 Akademisk BK Akademisk BK 1-1 HT 1-0 Middelfart Middelfart DAN2
06.04.2024 Akademisk BK Akademisk BK 1-3 HT 0-3 Middelfart Middelfart DAN2
23.09.2023 Middelfart Middelfart 1-0 HT 1-0 Akademisk BK Akademisk BK DAN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Middelfart
1-0
AWAY Akademisk BK
50% Ball Possession 50%
6 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Middelfart vs Akademisk BK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Middelfart squeezed past Akademisk BK 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Middelfart as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Middelfart had 50% of the ball to Akademisk BK's 50%, shots finished 6-10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Middelfart had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Middelfart and 1.17 for Akademisk BK.

What was the final score of Middelfart vs Akademisk BK?

Middelfart 1-0 Akademisk BK in the Denmark - 2nd Division on 26/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Middelfart vs Akademisk BK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Middelfart win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Middelfart 43%, draw 25%, Akademisk BK 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Middelfart) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Middelfart) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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