Atromitos 1-1 Aris Saloniki — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 26 Apr 2025

📅26/04/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
3.08
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
39%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
62%
1.6
Over
38%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
1.95
No
60%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1
37%
2.45
2-3
38%
1.74
4-5
17%
4.45
6+
8%
24.2
Value flag · 0-1 at 2.45 — our 37% vs market 33.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
5.32
1/2
5%
30.5
1/X
7%
14.3
X/1
15%
6.72
X/2
15%
4.86
X/X
15%
3.95
2/1
7%
35.0
2/2
19%
3.22
2/X
6%
13.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 62%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
29%
+4.4pp
28%
Draw
29%
-1.1pp
39%
Away Win
42%
-3.2pp
62%
Under 2.5
59%
+3.7pp
38%
Over 2.5
41%
-3.7pp
40%
BTTS Yes
47%
-7.5pp
60%
BTTS No
53%
+7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atromitos EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Aris Saloniki EU Bookmakers 46%
-12% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +1%
0.87/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/1.00
-24% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / -6%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
271 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 362 · 79%
14.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.7
16.3 Crosses 14.3
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atromitos
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Aris Saloniki
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.18 xG 1.24
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 4
284 Passes 375
80% Pass Accuracy 82%
15 Box Touches 21
18 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 3
13.04.2025 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki 1-0 HT 0-0 Atromitos Atromitos YUN
07.12.2024 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki 2-1 HT 2-0 Atromitos Atromitos YUN
18.08.2024 Atromitos Atromitos 1-1 HT 0-0 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki YUN
17.02.2024 Atromitos Atromitos 0-2 HT 0-1 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki YUN
05.11.2023 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki 1-3 HT 1-1 Atromitos Atromitos YUN
26.02.2023 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki 2-1 HT 2-0 Atromitos Atromitos YUN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atromitos
1-1
AWAY Aris Saloniki
1.76 xG 0.83
56% Ball Possession 44%
19 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
412 Passes 305
86% Pass Accuracy 79%
27 Box Touches 20
34 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Atromitos vs Aris Saloniki
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atromitos and Aris Saloniki shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (33% / 28% / 39%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (62%) landed while no to both teams scoring (60%) missed.

On the day, Atromitos had 56% of the ball to Aris Saloniki's 44%, shots finished 19-11, expected goals 1.76 to 0.83.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aris Saloniki led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Atromitos and 1.50 for Aris Saloniki.

What was the final score of Atromitos vs Aris Saloniki?

Atromitos 1-1 Aris Saloniki in the Greece - Super League on 26/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atromitos vs Aris Saloniki?

Before kick-off our model rated an Aris Saloniki win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Atromitos 33%, draw 28%, Aris Saloniki 39%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Aris Saloniki), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Aris Saloniki) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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26 Apr 2025
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