OFI 0-2 Asteras Tripolis — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 26 Apr 2025

📅26/04/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.57
Draw
22%
3.28
Away
34%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under
53%
1.86
Over
47%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.7
No Pick
55%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1
29%
3.12
2-3
39%
1.76
4-5
23%
3.47
6+
9%
13.75
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.12 — our 29% vs market 25.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
4.07
1/2
5%
28.0
1/X
5%
13.1
X/1
17%
6.0
X/2
9%
5.58
X/X
10%
4.6
2/1
6%
30.0
2/2
20%
3.63
2/X
7%
13.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS No — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
36%
+8.4pp
22%
Draw
27%
-5.1pp
34%
Away Win
37%
-3.3pp
53%
Under 2.5
50%
+3.0pp
47%
Over 2.5
50%
-3.0pp
45%
BTTS Yes
55%
-10.0pp
55%
BTTS No
45%
+10.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME OFI EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Asteras Tripolis EU Bookmakers 40%
+1% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +13%
1.40/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/0.94
+12% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +31%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
322 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 74%
17.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.4
18.3 Crosses 15.8
3.2 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME OFI
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Asteras Tripolis
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.80 xG 1.03
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
412 Passes 261
85% Pass Accuracy 78%
19 Box Touches 17
18 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 2
13.04.2025 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis 2-1 HT 1-1 OFI OFI YUN
02.04.2025 OFI OFI 1-1 HT 0-1 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis YUK
26.02.2025 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis 0-1 HT 0-1 OFI OFI YUK
15.02.2025 OFI OFI 2-1 HT 0-0 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis YUN
04.11.2024 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis 3-0 HT 0-0 OFI OFI YUN
27.04.2024 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis 1-1 HT 1-0 OFI OFI YUN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME OFI
0-2
AWAY Asteras Tripolis
2.42 xG 1.61
66% Ball Possession 34%
21 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 9
7 Corners 3
515 Passes 243
88% Pass Accuracy 80%
24 Box Touches 21
23 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH OFI vs Asteras Tripolis
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Asteras Tripolis beat OFI 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was OFI at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, OFI had 66% of the ball to Asteras Tripolis's 34%, shots finished 21-17, expected goals 2.42 to 1.61 — the balance of chances actually favoured OFI.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for OFI and 1.33 for Asteras Tripolis.

What was the final score of OFI vs Asteras Tripolis?

OFI 0-2 Asteras Tripolis in the Greece - Super League on 26/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for OFI vs Asteras Tripolis?

Before kick-off our model rated a OFI win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split OFI 44%, draw 22%, Asteras Tripolis 34%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (OFI) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (OFI) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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