Hibernian vs Hearts Prediction — Model Probabilities
Hibernian v Hearts — Team-Based Signals
Hibernian vs Hearts Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Hibernian 1-2 Hearts — Actual Match Statistics
Hearts shaded a tight game against Hibernian 2-1 on the road. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
We leaned Hibernian at 41% — softly — and the game went the other way. Slim leads do that. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Hearts saw more of the ball, 76% to 24%, shots finished 4-23, expected goals 0.54 to 1.82 — on chances created, Hearts won this by more than the scoreboard admits.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hibernian had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.33 a game for Hibernian against 1.17 for Hearts.
Hibernian vs Hearts Result & Final Score
Hibernian 1-2 Hearts in the Scotland - Premiership on 26/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Hibernian vs Hearts Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Hibernian win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Hibernian 41%, draw 28%, Hearts 31%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.