Estepona 2-1 CD Aguilas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 26 Apr 2026

📅26/04/2026 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.38
Draw
31%
3.18
Away
32%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
59%
1.59
Over
41%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.99
No
56%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1
38%
2-3
37%
4-5
16%
6+
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
11%
X/1
16%
X/2
13%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 59%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
37%
Home Win
38%
-1.2pp
31%
Draw
28%
+2.9pp
32%
Away Win
33%
-1.7pp
59%
Under 2.5
59%
+0.1pp
41%
Over 2.5
41%
-0.1pp
44%
BTTS Yes
46%
-2.3pp
56%
BTTS No
54%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Estepona The Market 42%
Head to Head
AWAY CD Aguilas The Market 37%
-6% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / +14%
1.27/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.06
+4% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -1%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
314 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 232 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 3.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Estepona
2W-1D-2L
AWAY CD Aguilas
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
23.11.2025 CD Aguilas CD Aguilas 2-1 HT 1-0 Estepona Estepona İS4
23.02.2025 Estepona Estepona 3-1 HT 2-0 CD Aguilas CD Aguilas İS4
13.10.2024 CD Aguilas CD Aguilas 0-0 Estepona Estepona İS4
21.01.2024 CD Aguilas CD Aguilas 1-0 HT 0-0 Estepona Estepona İS4
10.09.2023 Estepona Estepona 2-1 HT 1-1 CD Aguilas CD Aguilas İS4
POST-MATCH Estepona vs CD Aguilas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Estepona squeezed past CD Aguilas 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (37% / 31% / 32%) promised a tight game; Estepona found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Estepona and 1.00 for CD Aguilas.

What was the final score of Estepona vs CD Aguilas?

Estepona 2-1 CD Aguilas in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 26/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Estepona vs CD Aguilas?

Before kick-off our model rated a Estepona win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Estepona 37%, draw 31%, CD Aguilas 32%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Estepona) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Estepona) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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