Atletico Ottawa 1-1 Vancouver FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kanada - Premier League, 26 Apr 2026

📅26/04/2026 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
2.02
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
24%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.9
Over 2.5
51%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.7
No
47%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.22
2-3 Goals
39%
1.73
4-5 Goals
24%
3.28
6+ Goals
11%
12.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
6%
1/X
11%
X/1
11%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
46%
+3.5pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.4pp
24%
Away Win
28%
-3.7pp
49%
Under 2.5
49%
-0.2pp
51%
Over 2.5
51%
+0.2pp
53%
BTTS Yes
55%
-1.6pp
47%
BTTS No
45%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Ottawa EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Vancouver FC EU Bookmakers 31%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
1.64/1.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.53/1.25
-5% / +115% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +45% / -41%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
321 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 81%
25.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.5
12.4 Crosses 25.3
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico Ottawa
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Vancouver FC
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
2.33 xG 0.96
59% Ball Possession 41%
17 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 5
457 Passes 287
85% Pass Accuracy 78%
26 Box Touches 17
13 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 3
12.10.2025 Atletico Ottawa Atletico Ottawa 0-0 HT 0-0 Vancouver FC Vancouver FC KAPL
31.08.2025 Atletico Ottawa Atletico Ottawa 3-1 HT 2-1 Vancouver FC Vancouver FC KAPL
31.05.2025 Vancouver FC Vancouver FC 2-2 HT 2-0 Atletico Ottawa Atletico Ottawa KAPL
14.04.2025 Vancouver FC Vancouver FC 1-4 HT 0-3 Atletico Ottawa Atletico Ottawa KAPL
19.10.2024 Atletico Ottawa Atletico Ottawa 0-0 HT 0-0 Vancouver FC Vancouver FC KAPL
01.09.2024 Atletico Ottawa Atletico Ottawa 1-0 HT 1-0 Vancouver FC Vancouver FC KAPL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico Ottawa
1-1
AWAY Vancouver FC
1.49 xG 1.48
66% Ball Possession 34%
11 Total Shots 20
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 8
561 Passes 255
90% Pass Accuracy 83%
27 Box Touches 28
14 Crosses 18
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Atletico Ottawa vs Vancouver FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Ottawa and Vancouver FC shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Atletico Ottawa at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Atletico Ottawa had 66% of the ball to Vancouver FC's 34%, shots finished 11-20, expected goals 1.49 to 1.48.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atletico Ottawa had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Atletico Ottawa and 0.67 for Vancouver FC.

What was the final score of Atletico Ottawa vs Vancouver FC?

Atletico Ottawa 1-1 Vancouver FC in the Kanada - Premier League on 26/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Ottawa vs Vancouver FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Ottawa win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Atletico Ottawa 49%, draw 27%, Vancouver FC 24%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Atletico Ottawa), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Atletico Ottawa) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
KAPL More Kanada - Premier League
26 Apr 2026
00:00 Cavalry vs York United Analysis →