Cavalry 1-1 York United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kanada - Premier League, 26 Apr 2026

📅26/04/2026 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
66%
1.45
Draw
17%
4.08
Away
17%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.07
Over 2.5
58%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.88
No
48%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.67
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
26%
2.99
6+ Goals
11%
9.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
22%
X/2
6%
X/X
7%
2/1
10%
2/2
6%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
66%
Home Win
65%
+1.9pp
17%
Draw
21%
-4.2pp
17%
Away Win
14%
+2.4pp
42%
Under 2.5
44%
-2.4pp
58%
Over 2.5
56%
+2.4pp
52%
BTTS Yes
49%
+2.7pp
48%
BTTS No
51%
-2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cavalry EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY York United EU Bookmakers 17%
+1% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -3%
1.56/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.54
+8% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +22%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
380 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 80%
26.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.4
17.9 Crosses 14.9
2.3 Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cavalry
4W-0D-2L
AWAY York United
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.58 xG 0.87
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
357 Passes 347
84% Pass Accuracy 84%
25 Box Touches 16
19 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 5
27.10.2025 Cavalry Cavalry 4-1 HT 2-1 York United York United KAPL
06.09.2025 York United York United 3-1 HT 1-0 Cavalry Cavalry KAPL
27.07.2025 Cavalry Cavalry 0-1 HT 0-1 York United York United KAPL
09.06.2025 Cavalry Cavalry 2-1 HT 1-0 York United York United KAPL
03.05.2025 York United York United 1-2 HT 1-1 Cavalry Cavalry KAPL
21.09.2024 York United York United 0-2 HT 0-1 Cavalry Cavalry KAPL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cavalry
1-1
AWAY York United
1.71 xG 0.38
54% Ball Possession 46%
17 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 5
13 Corners 4
350 Passes 302
84% Pass Accuracy 83%
33 Box Touches 8
31 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Cavalry vs York United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cavalry and York United couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

This one beat our numbers. Cavalry carried 66% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Cavalry had 54% of the ball to York United's 46%, shots finished 17-8, expected goals 1.71 to 0.38.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cavalry had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Cavalry and 1.17 for York United.

What was the final score of Cavalry vs York United?

Cavalry 1-1 York United in the Kanada - Premier League on 26/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cavalry vs York United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cavalry win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Cavalry 66%, draw 17%, York United 17%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Cavalry), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cavalry) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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