Banga Gargzdai 2-1 Hegelmann Litauen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 26 Apr 2026

📅26/04/2026 · 🕒14:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
1.9
Draw
34%
3.28
Away
27%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.67
Over 2.5
37%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.95
No
50%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
14%
X/1
12%
X/2
14%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
49%
-9.7pp
34%
Draw
27%
+6.5pp
27%
Away Win
24%
+3.3pp
63%
Under 2.5
56%
+6.6pp
37%
Over 2.5
44%
-6.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
47%
+2.8pp
50%
BTTS No
53%
-2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Banga Gargzdai EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Hegelmann Litauen EU Bookmakers 28%
-25% / -25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
0.84/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.43
-43% / +39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / -22%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
319 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Banga Gargzdai
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Hegelmann Litauen
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
42% Ball Possession 58%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
22.02.2026 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen 0-2 HT 0-0 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai LITA
05.10.2025 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen 0-0 HT 0-0 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai LITA
13.08.2025 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai 0-1 HT 0-1 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen LITA
31.05.2025 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen 2-0 HT 0-0 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai LITA
01.03.2025 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai 2-0 HT 1-0 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen LITA
09.11.2024 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai 1-1 HT 0-0 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen LITA
POST-MATCH Banga Gargzdai vs Hegelmann Litauen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Banga Gargzdai nicked a narrow win over Hegelmann Litauen 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 34% / 27% — and on the day Banga Gargzdai made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Banga Gargzdai and 0.67 for Hegelmann Litauen.

What was the final score of Banga Gargzdai vs Hegelmann Litauen?

Banga Gargzdai 2-1 Hegelmann Litauen in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 26/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Banga Gargzdai vs Hegelmann Litauen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Banga Gargzdai win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Banga Gargzdai 39%, draw 34%, Hegelmann Litauen 27%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Banga Gargzdai) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Banga Gargzdai) ✗ Under 2.5
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