AVS 1-1 Sporting CP — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Premier League, 26 Apr 2026

📅26/04/2026 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 0-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
9%
9.57
Draw
16%
6.26
Away
75%
1.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
3.14
Over 2.5
55%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.9
No
56%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
6.99
2-3 Goals
40%
2.17
4-5 Goals
24%
2.31
6+ Goals
11%
4.21
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
3%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
3%
X/2
27%
X/X
8%
2/1
3%
2/2
42%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
9%
Home Win
8%
+1.7pp
16%
Draw
13%
+2.9pp
75%
Away Win
80%
-4.6pp
45%
Under 2.5
28%
+16.6pp
55%
Over 2.5
72%
-16.6pp
44%
BTTS Yes
49%
-5.0pp
56%
BTTS No
51%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AVS EU Bookmakers 10%
Head to Head
AWAY Sporting CP EU Bookmakers 85%
+17% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +8%
0.90/1.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.10/0.63
+12% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / +2%
37% Ball Possession 63%
8 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 7
254 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 496 · 87%
15.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 33.7
14.9 Crosses 20.2
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AVS
0W-1D-3L
AWAY Sporting CP
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.50
0.97 xG 2.35
35% Ball Possession 65%
8 Total Shots 22
3 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 8
249 Passes 543
78% Pass Accuracy 89%
12 Box Touches 44
13 Crosses 26
4 Yellow Cards 2
05.02.2026 Sporting CP Sporting CP 3-2 HT 1-0 AVS AVS POK
13.12.2025 Sporting CP Sporting CP 6-0 HT 3-0 AVS AVS POR
23.02.2025 AVS AVS 2-2 HT 0-2 Sporting CP Sporting CP POR
22.09.2024 Sporting CP Sporting CP 3-0 HT 2-0 AVS AVS POR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AVS
1-1
AWAY Sporting CP
1.45 xG 3.27
25% Ball Possession 75%
11 Total Shots 20
4 Shots on Target 8
0 Corners 9
140 Passes 523
70% Pass Accuracy 88%
10 Box Touches 53
6 Crosses 29
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH AVS vs Sporting CP
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AVS and Sporting CP couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

This one beat our numbers. Sporting CP carried 75% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, AVS had 25% of the ball to Sporting CP's 75%, shots finished 11-20, expected goals 1.45 to 3.27.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Sporting CP led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for AVS and 3.50 for Sporting CP.

What was the final score of AVS vs Sporting CP?

AVS 1-1 Sporting CP in the Portugal - Premier League on 26/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AVS vs Sporting CP?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sporting CP win the most likely single outcome at about 75%, with the full match-result split AVS 9%, draw 16%, Sporting CP 75%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Sporting CP) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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