Estoril vs Famalicao Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Estoril v Famalicao — Team-Based Signals
Estoril vs Famalicao Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 1-1
Estoril
POR
Estoril 0-1 Famalicao — Actual Match Statistics
Famalicao nicked a narrow win over Estoril 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we said in the preview, our model had Famalicao as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (63%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Estoril had 54% of the ball to Famalicao's 46%, shots finished 9-6, expected goals 0.44 to 1.15.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Famalicao led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Estoril and 1.83 for Famalicao.
What was the final score of Estoril vs Famalicao?
Estoril 0-1 Famalicao in the Portugal - Premier League on 26/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Estoril vs Famalicao?
Before kick-off our model rated an Famalicao win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Estoril 30%, draw 24%, Famalicao 47%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Famalicao) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.