Estrela vs Porto Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Estrela v Porto — Team-Based Signals
Estrela vs Porto Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-1
Porto
POR
Estrela 1-2 Porto — Actual Match Statistics
Porto squeezed past Estrela 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Porto as the likeliest winner at 68%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, Estrela had 47% of the ball to Porto's 53%, shots finished 11-11, expected goals 1.76 to 1.81.
Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Porto led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.60 goals for Estrela and 1.60 for Porto.
What was the final score of Estrela vs Porto?
Estrela 1-2 Porto in the Portugal - Premier League on 26/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Estrela vs Porto?
Before kick-off our model rated an Porto win the most likely single outcome at about 68%, with the full match-result split Estrela 12%, draw 20%, Porto 68%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Porto), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.