Gençlerbirliği 1-0 Kocaelispor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 26 Apr 2026

📅26/04/2026 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.47
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
34%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.6
Over 2.5
43%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.9
No
50%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.47
2-3 Goals
43%
1.73
4-5 Goals
17%
4.43
6+ Goals
8%
23.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
3.9
1/2
8%
33.5
1/X
7%
13.55
X/1
19%
5.4
X/2
11%
5.53
X/X
16%
3.92
2/1
7%
32.5
2/2
14%
4.04
2/X
6%
13.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
36%
+1.5pp
28%
Draw
29%
-0.8pp
34%
Away Win
34%
-0.8pp
57%
Under 2.5
59%
-1.1pp
43%
Over 2.5
41%
+1.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.2pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gençlerbirliği EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Kocaelispor EU Bookmakers 38%
+9% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
1.26/1.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.59
+6% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / +30%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
285 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 337 · 78%
19.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.9
17.7 Crosses 23.6
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gençlerbirliği
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Kocaelispor
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.73 xG 1.10
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
279 Passes 364
77% Pass Accuracy 80%
13 Box Touches 23
12 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 3
28.11.2025 Kocaelispor Kocaelispor 1-0 HT 1-0 Gençlerbirliği Gençlerbirliği TSL
20.01.2025 Gençlerbirliği Gençlerbirliği 1-0 HT 1-0 Kocaelispor Kocaelispor T1L
10.08.2024 Kocaelispor Kocaelispor 2-1 HT 0-1 Gençlerbirliği Gençlerbirliği T1L
15.03.2024 Gençlerbirliği Gençlerbirliği 2-0 HT 2-0 Kocaelispor Kocaelispor T1L
28.10.2023 Kocaelispor Kocaelispor 2-2 HT 1-0 Gençlerbirliği Gençlerbirliği T1L
20.03.2022 Gençlerbirliği Gençlerbirliği 1-1 HT 0-0 Kocaelispor Kocaelispor T1L
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gençlerbirliği
1-0
AWAY Kocaelispor
1.06 xG 0.60
36% Ball Possession 64%
8 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 0
1 Corners 2
180 Passes 371
71% Pass Accuracy 83%
14 Box Touches 9
8 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Gençlerbirliği vs Kocaelispor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gençlerbirliği edged past Kocaelispor 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 28% / 34% — and on the day Gençlerbirliği made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Gençlerbirliği had 36% of the ball to Kocaelispor's 64%, shots finished 8-7, expected goals 1.06 to 0.60.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Gençlerbirliği and 1.00 for Kocaelispor.

What was the final score of Gençlerbirliği vs Kocaelispor?

Gençlerbirliği 1-0 Kocaelispor in the Turkey - Super League on 26/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gençlerbirliği vs Kocaelispor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gençlerbirliği win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Gençlerbirliği 38%, draw 28%, Kocaelispor 34%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gençlerbirliği), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Gençlerbirliği) ✓ Under 2.5
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