Galatasaray 3-0 Fenerbahçe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 26 Apr 2026

📅26/04/2026 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.0
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
32%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.97
Over 2.5
50%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.63
No
45%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.59
2-3 Goals
44%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
3.14
6+ Goals
10%
10.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
2.74
1/2
6%
33.5
1/X
10%
12.0
X/1
18%
4.96
X/2
12%
7.48
X/X
10%
4.77
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
23.5
2/2
14%
5.24
2/X
4%
12.85
Value flag · 2/1 at 23.5 — our 8% vs market 2.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
46%
-2.1pp
24%
Draw
27%
-3.1pp
32%
Away Win
27%
+5.2pp
50%
Under 2.5
47%
+2.8pp
50%
Over 2.5
53%
-2.8pp
55%
BTTS Yes
57%
-2.2pp
45%
BTTS No
43%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Galatasaray EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Fenerbahçe EU Bookmakers 30%
-5% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +13%
1.28/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.29
-24% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -30% / +68%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
341 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 76%
21.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.1
19.8 Crosses 15.5
3.1 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Galatasaray
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Fenerbahçe
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.04 xG 1.68
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
318 Passes 240
80% Pass Accuracy 73%
19 Box Touches 24
18 Crosses 22
4 Yellow Cards 4
10.01.2026 Galatasaray Galatasaray 0-2 HT 0-1 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe TSK
01.12.2025 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe 1-1 HT 0-1 Galatasaray Galatasaray TSL
02.04.2025 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe 1-2 HT 1-2 Galatasaray Galatasaray TÜK
24.02.2025 Galatasaray Galatasaray 0-0 HT 0-0 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe TSL
21.09.2024 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe 1-3 HT 0-2 Galatasaray Galatasaray TSL
19.05.2024 Galatasaray Galatasaray 0-1 HT 0-0 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe TSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Galatasaray
3-0
AWAY Fenerbahçe
2.58 xG 1.32
63% Ball Possession 37%
21 Total Shots 5
8 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 4
392 Passes 203
87% Pass Accuracy 76%
37 Box Touches 12
25 Crosses 11
5 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Galatasaray vs Fenerbahçe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Galatasaray cruised past Fenerbahçe 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Galatasaray as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Galatasaray had 63% of the ball to Fenerbahçe's 37%, shots finished 21-5, expected goals 2.58 to 1.32.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Galatasaray and 1.00 for Fenerbahçe.

What was the final score of Galatasaray vs Fenerbahçe?

Galatasaray 3-0 Fenerbahçe in the Turkey - Super League on 26/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Galatasaray vs Fenerbahçe?

Before kick-off our model rated a Galatasaray win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Galatasaray 44%, draw 24%, Fenerbahçe 32%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Galatasaray) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Galatasaray) ✗ BTTS Yes
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