Grasshoppers 2-3 Luzern — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - Super League, 26 Jul 2025

📅26/07/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
2.57
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
28%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.91
Over 2.5
48%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.66
No
52%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
10%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
35%
+12.4pp
24%
Draw
27%
-2.4pp
28%
Away Win
38%
-10.0pp
52%
Under 2.5
48%
+4.1pp
48%
Over 2.5
52%
-4.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
56%
-8.3pp
52%
BTTS No
44%
+8.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Grasshoppers EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Luzern EU Bookmakers 42%
+1% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -10%
1.33/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.79/1.28
+31% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / -11%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
330 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 79%
22.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.5
18.7 Crosses 19.1
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Grasshoppers
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Luzern
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.98 xG 1.91
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
274 Passes 327
76% Pass Accuracy 79%
20 Box Touches 28
23 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 2
06.04.2025 Grasshoppers Grasshoppers 3-1 HT 1-0 Luzern Luzern İSV
03.11.2024 Luzern Luzern 2-0 HT 1-0 Grasshoppers Grasshoppers İSV
27.07.2024 Grasshoppers Grasshoppers 2-2 HT 0-1 Luzern Luzern İSV
10.05.2024 Luzern Luzern 1-1 HT 0-0 Grasshoppers Grasshoppers İSV
24.02.2024 Grasshoppers Grasshoppers 0-1 HT 0-0 Luzern Luzern İSV
05.11.2023 Luzern Luzern 2-0 HT 1-0 Grasshoppers Grasshoppers İSV
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Grasshoppers
2-3
AWAY Luzern
1.33 xG 2.34
45% Ball Possession 55%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
9 Corners 4
209 Passes 286
67% Pass Accuracy 70%
25 Box Touches 24
24 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Grasshoppers vs Luzern
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Luzern edged past Grasshoppers 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Grasshoppers at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Grasshoppers had 45% of the ball to Luzern's 55%, shots finished 15-11, expected goals 1.33 to 2.34.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Luzern led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Grasshoppers and 1.50 for Luzern.

What was the final score of Grasshoppers vs Luzern?

Grasshoppers 2-3 Luzern in the Switzerland - Super League on 26/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Grasshoppers vs Luzern?

Before kick-off our model rated a Grasshoppers win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Grasshoppers 47%, draw 24%, Luzern 28%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Grasshoppers) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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