Universitario de Vinto 2-2 Guabira — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bolivia - Profesyonel League Cup, 26 Jul 2025

📅26/07/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.57
Draw
23%
3.94
Away
27%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.21
Over 2.5
51%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.7
No
50%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
18%
X/2
15%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
6%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
60%
-10.2pp
23%
Draw
22%
+0.8pp
27%
Away Win
18%
+9.3pp
49%
Under 2.5
41%
+7.7pp
51%
Over 2.5
59%
-7.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
55%
-5.0pp
50%
BTTS No
45%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Universitario de Vinto EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Guabira EU Bookmakers 21%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
350 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Universitario de Vinto
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Guabira
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.26 xG 1.20
50% Ball Possession 50%
16 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
248 Passes 266
74% Pass Accuracy 78%
24 Box Touches 16
20 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 2
28.03.2025 Universitario de Vinto Universitario de Vinto 4-2 HT 2-1 Guabira Guabira BOLİ
30.11.2024 Universitario de Vinto Universitario de Vinto 1-0 Guabira Guabira BOLİ
04.08.2024 Guabira Guabira 4-2 HT 1-2 Universitario de Vinto Universitario de Vinto BOLİ
31.03.2024 Guabira Guabira 3-1 HT 1-1 Universitario de Vinto Universitario de Vinto BOLİ
21.02.2024 Universitario de Vinto Universitario de Vinto 1-0 HT 0-0 Guabira Guabira BOLİ
01.12.2023 Universitario de Vinto Universitario de Vinto 1-0 HT 0-0 Guabira Guabira BOLİ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Universitario de Vinto
2-2
AWAY Guabira
0.76 xG 1.16
63% Ball Possession 37%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
357 Passes 181
84% Pass Accuracy 74%
22 Box Touches 10
18 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Universitario de Vinto vs Guabira
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Universitario de Vinto and Guabira couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Universitario de Vinto at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Universitario de Vinto had 63% of the ball to Guabira's 37%, shots finished 15-9, expected goals 0.76 to 1.16.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Universitario de Vinto had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Universitario de Vinto and 1.50 for Guabira.

What was the final score of Universitario de Vinto vs Guabira?

Universitario de Vinto 2-2 Guabira in the Bolivia - Profesyonel League Cup on 26/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Universitario de Vinto vs Guabira?

Before kick-off our model rated a Universitario de Vinto win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Universitario de Vinto 50%, draw 23%, Guabira 27%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Universitario de Vinto) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Universitario de Vinto) ✓ Over 2.5
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