Piast Gliwice 0-1 Gornik Zabrze — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 26 Jul 2025

📅26/07/2025 · 🕒15:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.38
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
36%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.67
Over 2.5
42%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.85
No
56%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
33%
2.6
2-3 Goals
39%
1.73
4-5 Goals
19%
4.14
6+ Goals
9%
20.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.6 — our 33% vs market 31.2%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.77
1/2
6%
33.5
1/X
5%
13.7
X/1
13%
5.39
X/2
13%
5.81
X/X
15%
4.16
2/1
8%
31.0
2/2
17%
4.23
2/X
6%
13.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
38%
-0.4pp
26%
Draw
28%
-2.4pp
36%
Away Win
33%
+2.8pp
58%
Under 2.5
56%
+1.5pp
42%
Over 2.5
44%
-1.5pp
44%
BTTS Yes
50%
-5.6pp
56%
BTTS No
50%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Piast Gliwice EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Gornik Zabrze EU Bookmakers 37%
+8% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +8%
1.42/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.51/1.24
-7% / +45% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / -3%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
319 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 79%
24.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.3
21.2 Crosses 16.5
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Piast Gliwice
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Gornik Zabrze
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.01 xG 1.50
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
242 Passes 470
73% Pass Accuracy 84%
17 Box Touches 28
17 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 2
17.05.2025 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice 2-0 HT 1-0 Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze POL
24.11.2024 Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze 1-0 HT 0-0 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice POL
10.02.2024 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice 1-3 HT 0-1 Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze POL
05.08.2023 Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze 0-0 HT 0-0 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice POL
31.03.2023 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice 1-0 HT 1-0 Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze POL
10.09.2022 Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze 3-3 HT 2-2 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice POL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Piast Gliwice
0-1
AWAY Gornik Zabrze
0.76 xG 0.27
62% Ball Possession 38%
10 Total Shots 8
0 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 2
452 Passes 255
88% Pass Accuracy 81%
21 Box Touches 15
17 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Piast Gliwice vs Gornik Zabrze
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gornik Zabrze squeezed past Piast Gliwice 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (38% / 26% / 36%) promised a tight game; Gornik Zabrze found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Piast Gliwice had 62% of the ball to Gornik Zabrze's 38%, shots finished 10-8, expected goals 0.76 to 0.27 — on chances, Piast Gliwice could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Piast Gliwice and 1.17 for Gornik Zabrze.

What was the final score of Piast Gliwice vs Gornik Zabrze?

Piast Gliwice 0-1 Gornik Zabrze in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 26/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Piast Gliwice vs Gornik Zabrze?

Before kick-off our model rated a Piast Gliwice win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Piast Gliwice 38%, draw 26%, Gornik Zabrze 36%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Piast Gliwice) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Piast Gliwice) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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