Atletico Paranaense 1-0 Internacional — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 26 Jul 2026

📅26/07/2026 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.92
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
23%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.64
Over 2.5
45%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.95
No
47%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.58
2-3 Goals
42%
1.73
4-5 Goals
19%
4.22
6+ Goals
9%
21.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.7
1/2
7%
34.0
1/X
7%
13.5
X/1
17%
4.44
X/2
7%
7.64
X/X
18%
4.09
2/1
9%
28.0
2/2
9%
6.24
2/X
5%
14.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
48%
-1.1pp
30%
Draw
28%
+1.9pp
23%
Away Win
24%
-0.9pp
55%
Under 2.5
57%
-2.6pp
45%
Over 2.5
43%
+2.6pp
53%
BTTS Yes
47%
+5.8pp
47%
BTTS No
53%
-5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Paranaense EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Internacional EU Bookmakers 28%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -1%
1.49/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.47
+6% / +31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -13%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
337 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 79%
21.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.3
21.3 Crosses 16.2
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico Paranaense
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Internacional
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.13 xG 1.62
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
297 Passes 389
78% Pass Accuracy 83%
19 Box Touches 25
13 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 2
29.01.2026 Internacional Internacional 0-1 HT 0-1 Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense BR1
12.08.2024 Internacional Internacional 2-2 HT 1-1 Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense BR1
21.04.2024 Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense 1-0 HT 0-0 Internacional Internacional BR1
22.09.2023 Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense 2-1 HT 1-1 Internacional Internacional BR1
11.05.2023 Internacional Internacional 0-2 HT 0-0 Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense BR1
06.11.2022 Internacional Internacional 2-0 HT 0-0 Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense BR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico Paranaense
1-0
AWAY Internacional
1.11 xG 0.23
6 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 2
182 Passes 192
10 Box Touches 8
11 Crosses 6
POST-MATCH Atletico Paranaense vs Internacional
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Paranaense squeezed past Internacional 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Atletico Paranaense as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, shots finished 6-6, expected goals 1.11 to 0.23.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atletico Paranaense had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Atletico Paranaense and 0.83 for Internacional.

What was the final score of Atletico Paranaense vs Internacional?

Atletico Paranaense 1-0 Internacional in the Brazil - Serie A on 26/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Paranaense vs Internacional?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Paranaense win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Atletico Paranaense 47%, draw 30%, Internacional 23%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atletico Paranaense), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Atletico Paranaense) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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