Bahia vs Corinthians Prediction, Probabilities & Odds — Brazil - Serie A, 26 Jul 2026

Bahia
vs
Corinthians
📅26/07/2026 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
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Brazil - Serie A – 2026

Bahia vs Corinthians Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.09
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
26%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
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Both Teams to Score
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Total Goals
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Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
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Bahia v Corinthians — Team-Based Signals

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iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
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Team-Based Signals — members only
The why behind every prediction: how each side performs against the bookmaker, expected goals, attack & defence versus the league, and the on-pitch signals below.
  • Team Performance vs Market
  • Expected Goals — scored / conceded
  • Attack / Defense vs League Average
  • Possession · Total Shots · Shots on Target
  • Corners · Passes · Box Touches · Crosses · Cards
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Bahia vs Corinthians Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bahia
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Corinthians
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.44 xG 1.34
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
339 Passes 434
83% Pass Accuracy 88%
18 Box Touches 21
12 Crosses 22
4 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
29.01.2026 Corinthians Corinthians 1-2 HT 1-2 Bahia Bahia BR1
17.08.2025 Corinthians Corinthians 1-2 HT 1-2 Bahia Bahia BR1
31.03.2025 Bahia Bahia 1-1 HT 1-0 Corinthians Corinthians BR1
04.12.2024 Corinthians Corinthians 3-0 HT 2-0 Bahia Bahia BR1
21.07.2024 Bahia Bahia 0-1 HT 0-1 Corinthians Corinthians BR1
25.11.2023 Corinthians Corinthians 1-5 HT 0-3 Bahia Bahia BR1
COMMENT Bahia vs Corinthians
iddaakolik Match Comment — summary & quick answers

Both teams have scored in 4 of Bahia's last 5 home league games, and over 2.5 goals has landed in 4 of Corinthians's last 5 away league games.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bahia have the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Bahia and 1.33 for Corinthians.

When do Bahia and Corinthians play?

Bahia play Corinthians in the Brazil - Serie A on 26/07/2026, kick-off 22:00 (Istanbul · GMT+3).

Who is predicted to win Bahia vs Corinthians?

Our model's prediction for Bahia vs Corinthians is a Bahia win at about 47% probability, priced 2.09 at EU bookmakers. The full match-result split is Bahia 47%, draw 27%, Corinthians 27%. These are probability estimates, not certainties — the most likely outcome still loses much of the time.

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