Corinthians vs Bahia Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Corinthians v Bahia — Team-Based Signals
Corinthians vs Bahia Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-5
HT 0-3
Bahia
BR1
0-0
HT 0-0
Corinthians
BR1
Corinthians 1-2 Bahia — Actual Match Statistics
Bahia squeezed past Corinthians 2-1 away from home.
Our pre-match lean was Corinthians at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, Corinthians had 59% of the ball to Bahia's 41%, shots finished 17-11, expected goals 1.91 to 1.56.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Corinthians and 1.33 for Bahia.
What was the final score of Corinthians vs Bahia?
Corinthians 1-2 Bahia in the Brazil - Serie A on 29/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Corinthians vs Bahia?
Before kick-off our model rated a Corinthians win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Corinthians 50%, draw 26%, Bahia 24%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Corinthians), Under 2.5 went the other way.