Chapecoense vs Santos Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Chapecoense v Santos — Team-Based Signals
Chapecoense vs Santos Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-0
HT 1-0
Chapecoense
BR1
0-1
HT 0-1
Santos
BR1
2-0
HT 1-0
Chapecoense
BR1
0-1
HT 0-1
Santos
BR1
Chapecoense 4-2 Santos — Actual Match Statistics
Chapecoense got the better of Santos 4-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 25% / 36% — and on the day Chapecoense made the difference.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.
On the day, Chapecoense had 34% of the ball to Santos's 66%, shots finished 8-25, expected goals 1.83 to 1.32.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Santos led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Chapecoense and 1.50 for Santos.
What was the final score of Chapecoense vs Santos?
Chapecoense 4-2 Santos in the Brazil - Serie A on 29/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Chapecoense vs Santos?
Before kick-off our model rated a Chapecoense win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Chapecoense 39%, draw 25%, Santos 36%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chapecoense), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.