Internacional 0-1 Atletico Paranaense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 29 Jan 2026

📅29/01/2026 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.96
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
23%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.64
Over 2.5
47%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.95
No
49%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.64
2-3 Goals
40%
1.76
4-5 Goals
22%
4.28
6+ Goals
9%
21.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.79
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
8%
13.65
X/1
17%
4.57
X/2
8%
7.7
X/X
14%
4.15
2/1
12%
28.5
2/2
9%
6.25
2/X
5%
14.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
47%
+2.6pp
27%
Draw
28%
-0.5pp
23%
Away Win
25%
-2.1pp
53%
Under 2.5
57%
-4.7pp
47%
Over 2.5
43%
+4.7pp
51%
BTTS Yes
47%
+3.5pp
49%
BTTS No
53%
-3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Internacional EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Paranaense EU Bookmakers 29%
+4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
1.58/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.44
+3% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +3%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
351 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 81%
24.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.0
20.8 Crosses 17.6
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Internacional
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Atletico Paranaense
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.49 xG 1.27
51% Ball Possession 49%
16 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
346 Passes 340
81% Pass Accuracy 81%
22 Box Touches 20
21 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
12.08.2024 Internacional Internacional 2-2 HT 1-1 Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense BR1
21.04.2024 Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense 1-0 HT 0-0 Internacional Internacional BR1
22.09.2023 Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense 2-1 HT 1-1 Internacional Internacional BR1
11.05.2023 Internacional Internacional 0-2 HT 0-0 Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense BR1
06.11.2022 Internacional Internacional 2-0 HT 0-0 Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense BR1
16.07.2022 Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense 0-0 HT 0-0 Internacional Internacional BR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Internacional
0-1
AWAY Atletico Paranaense
2.42 xG 1.59
71% Ball Possession 29%
19 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 2
13 Corners 1
509 Passes 167
86% Pass Accuracy 69%
38 Box Touches 12
35 Crosses 7
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Internacional vs Atletico Paranaense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Paranaense edged past Internacional 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Internacional at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Internacional had 71% of the ball to Atletico Paranaense's 29%, shots finished 19-6, expected goals 2.42 to 1.59 — the balance of chances actually favoured Internacional.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atletico Paranaense led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Internacional and 1.17 for Atletico Paranaense.

What was the final score of Internacional vs Atletico Paranaense?

Internacional 0-1 Atletico Paranaense in the Brazil - Serie A on 29/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Internacional vs Atletico Paranaense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Internacional win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Internacional 49%, draw 27%, Atletico Paranaense 23%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Internacional), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Internacional) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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