Fluminense vs Gremio Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Fluminense v Gremio — Team-Based Signals
Fluminense vs Gremio Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Fluminense 2-1 Gremio — Actual Match Statistics
Fluminense squeezed past Gremio 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Fluminense as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, Fluminense had 51% of the ball to Gremio's 49%, shots finished 10-12.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fluminense had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Fluminense and 1.17 for Gremio.
What was the final score of Fluminense vs Gremio?
Fluminense 2-1 Gremio in the Brazil - Serie A on 29/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Fluminense vs Gremio?
Before kick-off our model rated a Fluminense win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Fluminense 61%, draw 20%, Gremio 19%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fluminense), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.