Atletico Mineiro 2-2 Palmeiras — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 29 Jan 2026

📅29/01/2026 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.8
Draw
27%
3.04
Away
34%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.64
Over 2.5
53%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.88
No
42%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2.61
2-3 Goals
38%
1.76
4-5 Goals
23%
4.35
6+ Goals
13%
22.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
4.56
1/2
6%
31.5
1/X
11%
13.5
X/1
14%
6.18
X/2
11%
5.31
X/X
8%
3.99
2/1
7%
35.0
2/2
17%
3.61
2/X
8%
13.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
32%
+6.3pp
27%
Draw
30%
-2.5pp
34%
Away Win
38%
-3.8pp
47%
Under 2.5
57%
-10.0pp
53%
Over 2.5
43%
+10.0pp
58%
BTTS Yes
49%
+8.6pp
42%
BTTS No
51%
-8.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Mineiro EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Palmeiras EU Bookmakers 42%
-16% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +9%
1.64/1.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/1.25
-14% / -55% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / +0%
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
292 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 80%
26.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.4
18.0 Crosses 20.0
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico Mineiro
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Palmeiras
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.80 xG 2.01
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 6
326 Passes 283
80% Pass Accuracy 79%
13 Box Touches 25
11 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 3
04.12.2025 Atletico Mineiro Atletico Mineiro 0-3 HT 0-2 Palmeiras Palmeiras BR1
20.07.2025 Palmeiras Palmeiras 3-2 HT 1-1 Atletico Mineiro Atletico Mineiro BR1
29.09.2024 Palmeiras Palmeiras 2-1 HT 1-0 Atletico Mineiro Atletico Mineiro BR1
18.06.2024 Atletico Mineiro Atletico Mineiro 0-4 HT 0-1 Palmeiras Palmeiras BR1
20.10.2023 Palmeiras Palmeiras 0-2 HT 0-1 Atletico Mineiro Atletico Mineiro BR1
10.08.2023 Palmeiras Palmeiras 0-0 HT 0-0 Atletico Mineiro Atletico Mineiro LKU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico Mineiro
2-2
AWAY Palmeiras
0.53 xG 1.01
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 7
342 Passes 284
88% Pass Accuracy 84%
11 Box Touches 17
13 Crosses 23
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Atletico Mineiro vs Palmeiras
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Mineiro and Palmeiras couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match split (39% / 27% / 34%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged both teams to score (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Atletico Mineiro had 52% of the ball to Palmeiras's 48%, shots finished 14-13, expected goals 0.53 to 1.01.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Palmeiras led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Atletico Mineiro and 2.00 for Palmeiras.

What was the final score of Atletico Mineiro vs Palmeiras?

Atletico Mineiro 2-2 Palmeiras in the Brazil - Serie A on 29/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Mineiro vs Palmeiras?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Mineiro win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Atletico Mineiro 39%, draw 27%, Palmeiras 34%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Atletico Mineiro) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Atletico Mineiro) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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