Enfield Town 0-1 Hemel Hempstead Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 26 Aug 2024

📅26/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.46
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
49%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.0
Over 2.5
52%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.68
No
52%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
27%
3.75
2-3 Goals
43%
1.82
4-5 Goals
21%
3.24
6+ Goals
9%
11.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.75 — our 27% vs market 21.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
14%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
30%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
26%
+1.1pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.2pp
50%
Away Win
50%
+0.1pp
48%
Under 2.5
46%
+2.0pp
52%
Over 2.5
54%
-2.0pp
48%
BTTS Yes
56%
-7.2pp
52%
BTTS No
44%
+7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Enfield Town EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Hemel Hempstead Town EU Bookmakers 54%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
1.00/3.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.08/1.99
-20% / -51% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +30% / -38%
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
275 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 388 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Enfield Town
0-1
AWAY Hemel Hempstead Town
53% Ball Possession 47%
8 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Enfield Town vs Hemel Hempstead Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hemel Hempstead Town nicked a narrow win over Enfield Town 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Hemel Hempstead Town as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Enfield Town had 53% of the ball to Hemel Hempstead Town's 47%, shots finished 8-14.

What was the final score of Enfield Town vs Hemel Hempstead Town?

Enfield Town 0-1 Hemel Hempstead Town in the England - Conference on 26/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Enfield Town vs Hemel Hempstead Town?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hemel Hempstead Town win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Enfield Town 27%, draw 24%, Hemel Hempstead Town 50%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hemel Hempstead Town), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hemel Hempstead Town) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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