Truro City 5-0 Worthing — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 26 Aug 2024

📅26/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.57
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
39%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.18
Over 2.5 OUR CALL
51%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.53
No
51%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
4.36
2-3 Goals
35%
1.88
4-5 Goals
25%
2.96
6+ Goals
11%
8.83
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
14%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Over 2.5 — 51%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Away Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
35%
+0.2pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.7pp
39%
Away Win
40%
-1.9pp
49%
Under 2.5
42%
+7.2pp
51%
Over 2.5
58%
-7.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
61%
-12.4pp
51%
BTTS No
39%
+12.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Truro City EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Worthing EU Bookmakers 45%
-21% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +14%
0.62/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.02/1.39
-54% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +40% / -7%
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
287 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 388 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Truro City
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Worthing
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
38% Ball Possession 62%
6 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 4
13.01.2024 Truro City Truro City 1-4 HT 1-1 Worthing Worthing İCON
07.10.2023 Worthing Worthing 2-2 HT 0-1 Truro City Truro City İCON
POST-MATCH Truro City vs Worthing
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Truro City cruised past Worthing 5-0. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (35% / 26% / 39%) promised a tight game; Truro City found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Worthing led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Truro City and 3.00 for Worthing.

What was the final score of Truro City vs Worthing?

Truro City 5-0 Worthing in the England - Conference on 26/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Truro City vs Worthing?

Before kick-off our model rated an Worthing win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Truro City 35%, draw 26%, Worthing 39%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Worthing) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Worthing) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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