Perugia 1-4 Rimini — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 26 Sep 2024

📅26/09/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.9
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
29%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under
48%
1.74
Over
52%
1.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
55%
1.84
No
45%
1.84
Total Goals
0-1
26%
2.89
2-3
37%
1.77
4-5
24%
4.03
6+
13%
18.8
Value flag · 4-5 at 4.03 — our 24% vs market 19.6%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
20%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to / . Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik model signals — not real match figures
HOME Perugia The Market 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Rimini The Market 29%
Great Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Average
Strong Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Average
1.67 Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better 0.84
0.60 Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better 1.32
Strong Attackvs comparable teams Weak
Great Defensevs comparable teams Average
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
319 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Perugia
0W-3D-1L
AWAY Rimini
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
11.05.2024 Perugia Perugia 0-0 HT 0-0 Rimini Rimini İTC
03.02.2024 Perugia Perugia 0-0 HT 0-0 Rimini Rimini İTC
09.11.2023 Rimini Rimini 1-0 HT 1-0 Perugia Perugia İTCK
23.09.2023 Rimini Rimini 2-2 HT 1-2 Perugia Perugia İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Perugia
1-4
AWAY Rimini
40% Ball Possession 60%
12 Total Shots 20
5 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 3
REVIEW Perugia vs Rimini
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Rimini swept aside Perugia 4-1 on their travels. Half-time: 0-2. With 5 goals, entertainment was never the problem.

A gentle 45% lean on Perugia didn't survive contact with the match; margins like that flip all the time. For what it's worth, the market was even more convinced — 1.90, about 53% — so the upset beat the price as well as us. Nothing to argue with on goals either — both teams to score (55%) came home.

Under the surface, Rimini saw more of the ball, 60% to 40%, shots finished 12-20.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Rimini led the recent series with 1 wins, 3 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 0.50 a game for Perugia against 0.75 for Rimini.

Perugia vs Rimini Result & Final Score

Perugia 1-4 Rimini in the Italy - Serie C on 26/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Perugia vs Rimini Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Perugia win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Perugia 45%, draw 26%, Rimini 29%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Perugia) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Perugia) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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