Arsenal (K) 4-0 Hacken (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Champions League - Women's, 26 Sep 2024

📅26/09/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
70%
1.16
Draw
15%
7.13
Away
15%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under
41%
2.96
Over
59%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.19
No
57%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1
18%
2-3
41%
4-5
29%
6+
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
47%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
6%
X/X
5%
2/1
5%
2/2
6%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Arsenal (K) win — 70%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win Over 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
70%
Home Win
82%
-12.2pp
15%
Draw
11%
+4.0pp
15%
Away Win
7%
+8.3pp
41%
Under 2.5
30%
+11.2pp
59%
Over 2.5
70%
-11.2pp
43%
BTTS Yes
42%
+1.1pp
57%
BTTS No
58%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arsenal (K) EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY Hacken (K) EU Bookmakers 9%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +42% / +42%
2.19/0.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.72/2.63
-5% / +67% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +59% / +125%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
456 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 74%
53.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 9.9
27.9 Crosses 3.5
0.3 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arsenal (K)
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Hacken (K)
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.33 xG 1.22
68% Ball Possession 32%
17 Total Shots 4
4 Shots on Target 1
9 Corners 0
585 Passes 251
90% Pass Accuracy 80%
48 Box Touches 8
26 Crosses 0
4 Yellow Cards 2
18.09.2024 Hacken (K) Hacken (K) 1-0 HT 0-0 Arsenal (K) Arsenal (K) ŞMP-K
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arsenal (K)
4-0
AWAY Hacken (K)
1.57 xG 0.45
67% Ball Possession 33%
14 Total Shots 8
10 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
590 Passes 244
89% Pass Accuracy 76%
34 Box Touches 13
14 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Arsenal (K) vs Hacken (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arsenal (K) ran out comfortable winners over Hacken (K) 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Arsenal (K) as the likeliest winner at 70%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

On the day, Arsenal (K) had 67% of the ball to Hacken (K)'s 33%, shots finished 14-8, expected goals 1.57 to 0.45.

What was the final score of Arsenal (K) vs Hacken (K)?

Arsenal (K) 4-0 Hacken (K) in the Champions League - Women's on 26/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arsenal (K) vs Hacken (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Arsenal (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 70%, with the full match-result split Arsenal (K) 70%, draw 15%, Hacken (K) 15%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Arsenal (K)), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Arsenal (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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