FC Oss 1-2 Roda — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 26 Sep 2025

FC Oss
1-2 HT 0-1
Roda
📅26/09/2025 · 🕒21:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.8
Draw
22%
3.45
Away
49%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.07
Over 2.5
54%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.6
No
45%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.77
2-3 Goals
38%
1.79
4-5 Goals
24%
2.96
6+ Goals
12%
9.41
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
4.33
1/2 EV+ ✗
8%
23.85
1/X
7%
12.8
X/1
10%
6.58
X/2
20%
5.3
X/X
10%
5.1
2/1
6%
28.5
2/2
21%
3.1
2/X
5%
12.45
Value flag · 1/2 at 23.85 — our 8% vs market 2.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
32%
-3.0pp
22%
Draw
26%
-4.3pp
49%
Away Win
42%
+7.3pp
46%
Under 2.5
44%
+1.3pp
54%
Over 2.5
56%
-1.3pp
55%
BTTS Yes
58%
-3.6pp
45%
BTTS No
42%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Oss EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Roda EU Bookmakers 45%
+7% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -10%
1.18/1.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/1.46
-5% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / -14%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
316 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 377 · 82%
18.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.9
17.7 Crosses 19.2
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Oss
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Roda
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.05 xG 1.35
41% Ball Possession 59%
11 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
250 Passes 419
72% Pass Accuracy 82%
17 Box Touches 26
16 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 1
17.01.2025 FC Oss FC Oss 0-2 HT 0-1 Roda Roda HOL2
16.08.2024 Roda Roda 0-0 HT 0-0 FC Oss FC Oss HOL2
12.04.2024 FC Oss FC Oss 1-4 HT 0-3 Roda Roda HOL2
25.08.2023 Roda Roda 2-0 HT 1-0 FC Oss FC Oss HOL2
13.01.2023 Roda Roda 1-1 HT 0-1 FC Oss FC Oss HOL2
21.10.2022 FC Oss FC Oss 3-0 HT 0-0 Roda Roda HOL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Oss
1-2
AWAY Roda
1.48 xG 0.49
53% Ball Possession 47%
17 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
380 Passes 316
82% Pass Accuracy 77%
20 Box Touches 13
28 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH FC Oss vs Roda
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Roda nicked a narrow win over FC Oss 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Roda as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, FC Oss had 53% of the ball to Roda's 47%, shots finished 17-8, expected goals 1.48 to 0.49 — the balance of chances actually favoured FC Oss.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Roda led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for FC Oss and 1.50 for Roda.

What was the final score of FC Oss vs Roda?

FC Oss 1-2 Roda in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 26/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Oss vs Roda?

Before kick-off our model rated an Roda win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split FC Oss 30%, draw 22%, Roda 49%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Roda), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Roda) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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