Oldham Athletic 1-0 Dagenham & Redbridge — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 26 Oct 2024

📅26/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.9
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
30%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.86
Over 2.5
46%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.76
No
49%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
28%
3.26
2-3 Goals
44%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
3.62
6+ Goals
8%
14.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.26 — our 28% vs market 25.1%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.62
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
8%
13.6
X/1
11%
4.35
X/2
9%
7.63
X/X
13%
4.66
2/1
9%
24.85
2/2
14%
5.75
2/X
8%
14.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
48%
-7.3pp
29%
Draw
26%
+2.5pp
30%
Away Win
25%
+4.8pp
54%
Under 2.5
50%
+4.2pp
46%
Over 2.5
50%
-4.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.9pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Oldham Athletic EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Dagenham & Redbridge EU Bookmakers 29%
-8% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -3%
1.59/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.24
-2% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +23%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
247 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 217 · 62%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Oldham Athletic
2W-4D-0L
AWAY Dagenham & Redbridge
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 1
23.03.2024 Dagenham & Redbridge Dagenham & Redbridge 0-0 HT 0-0 Oldham Athletic Oldham Athletic İBSL
07.10.2023 Oldham Athletic Oldham Athletic 1-1 HT 1-0 Dagenham & Redbridge Dagenham & Redbridge İBSL
18.03.2023 Dagenham & Redbridge Dagenham & Redbridge 1-1 HT 1-0 Oldham Athletic Oldham Athletic İBSL
07.02.2023 Oldham Athletic Oldham Athletic 4-2 HT 0-1 Dagenham & Redbridge Dagenham & Redbridge İBSL
05.02.2011 Oldham Athletic Oldham Athletic 1-1 HT 0-0 Dagenham & Redbridge Dagenham & Redbridge İN1
20.11.2010 Dagenham & Redbridge Dagenham & Redbridge 0-1 HT 0-0 Oldham Athletic Oldham Athletic İN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Oldham Athletic
1-0
AWAY Dagenham & Redbridge
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 5
3 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 2
1 Passes 0
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Oldham Athletic vs Dagenham & Redbridge
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Oldham Athletic nicked a narrow win over Dagenham & Redbridge 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Oldham Athletic as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Oldham Athletic had 47% of the ball to Dagenham & Redbridge's 53%, shots finished 10-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Oldham Athletic had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Oldham Athletic and 0.83 for Dagenham & Redbridge.

What was the final score of Oldham Athletic vs Dagenham & Redbridge?

Oldham Athletic 1-0 Dagenham & Redbridge in the England - National League on 26/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Oldham Athletic vs Dagenham & Redbridge?

Before kick-off our model rated a Oldham Athletic win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Oldham Athletic 41%, draw 29%, Dagenham & Redbridge 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Oldham Athletic), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Oldham Athletic) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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